Let me put this on the thread to provide some context for everyone debating loss versus no loss on the Indian side. All of the following is based on cold, hard facts that are available and verifiable OSINT. I will also be making the most probable inferences from these facts to try and get a picture of things. Mind you, this is no BDA.
DGAO, when asked about Indian fighter aircraft losses: "Losses are a part of any combat scenario........All our pilots are back home safe."
From this, we can conclusively say that NO IAF PILOTS WERE KIA. And with some ambiguity, infer that there might be some Indian losses.
Now, because all pilots are safe, even if we had aircraft losses, the pilots must have ejected.
In this context, Rafale, Mirage 2K, LCA, and Jaguar all use Martin Baker ejection seats.
NO UPDATES on the Martin Baker website: NONE of the above aircraft types were lost. (Almost certain)
That leaves Su 30MKI, MiG 29K/UPG, and MiG 21.
Among these, the MiG 21 is the least likely because India would not have fielded it after what happened in 2019, and also, no false or true reports of any MiG 21 crashes.
That leaves 1 Su 30MKI and 1 MiG 29K/UPG. Mind you, NONE of the reports of either of these crashes has any real photo or video evidence of these crashes, rather, they tried to pass off old photos as those of Op Sindoor. Therefore, in all likelihood, these are fake news.
BUT, because Air Marshall Bharti left some room for ambiguity, if there's the slightest chance of Indian aircraft losses, the only possible ones are a single Su 30MKI or a single MiG 29K/UPG.
Now, India has used decoy aircraft like the Banshee and Lakshya (reported and corroborated by photos of debris found in Pakistan). The Banshee is capable of mimicking both of these aircraft to a great extent, while the Lakshya was indigenously designed specifically to mimic the Su-30MKI and MiG-29 very well. Therefore, high probability that the possible Su-30 MKI and MiG-29K/UPG losses are nothing but decoy drones.
