Pahalgam Islamic Terror Attack

JConline said:
As far as I know, we already have dams on the Indus, Chenab, Ravi, Jhelum, and Beas rivers. So we should be able to block a significant amount of water flow even before the rest of the dams are completed and operational. It looks like Pakistan is about to have a pretty dry summer!
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Those aren't dams that can hold a lot of water. Unless completely new dam to divert/hold water is made, it won't be impactful.
 
Suspending IWT decision is only going to fuel the protests happening in Sindh. People are already out on the streets every day against the Cholistan project. It’s not getting much attention from mainstream media, but social media is full of it.
 
MadMax said:
Suspending IWT decision is only going to fuel the protests happening in Sindh. People are already out on the streets every day against the Cholistan project. It’s not getting much attention from mainstream media, but social media is full of it.
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This water isn't going to stop in 15-20 years. Why will people protest for something that is a generation away?
 
Sanglamorre said:
Those aren't dams that can hold a lot of water. Unless completely new dam to divert/hold water is made, it won't be impactful.
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Well, I believe the long-term choking of Pakistan isn't the plan here anyway. Last week, Asim Munir referred to Kashmir as the jugular of Pakistan because of the Indus River Valley. Now, the jugular has been severed. This now puts the ball back in Pakistan's court. There seem to be 4 possible outcomes here:

1. Another terrorist attack, but that wouldn't stroke the fat egos on the other side of the border well enough. And even for the public of Pakistan, I don't think they'd be fine with a terrorist attack in exchange for being subjected to potential drought and famine. Ik someone will point out that the Pakistani army doesn't care about the citizens, but right now, the internal state in Pakistan is also on the edge in many regions. And if history is any indication, Pakistani megalomaniacs would much rather have their asses handed to them outside their borders than face the wrath of the Pakistani diaspora. And a terrorist attack isn't an impetus enough to shift the focus from internal to external.

2. Pakistan seeks international assistance and potentially tries to take India to the ICJ over the IWT. Well fair to say, India, with its newfound geopolitical influence, will be winning that bout.

3. Asim Munir launches an all-out military campaign against India. In this scenario, Pakistan would probably cease to exist or end up with nothing left to call a military at the very least. Based on Pakistan's finances, they wouldn't be able to sustain a war with India beyond maybe a couple of weeks. And this time, care packages from Europe and the USA will not be arriving in Karachi.

4. Last and least probable, Pakistan launches nuclear strikes against India. This possibility is probably the only one that would be devastating for India. Not that a war would be comfortable, but Pakistan is conventionally no match for India's military might and soft power. In case Asim Munir is mad enough to do it, this would guarantee the end of Pakistan as a sovereign state.

So, now it's a game of who flinches first. And if history is any indication, the world knows who's itching in their pants right now.
 
JConline said:
Well, I believe the long-term choking of Pakistan isn't the plan here anyway. Last week, Asim Munir referred to Kashmir as the jugular of Pakistan because of the Indus River Valley. Now, the jugular has been severed. This now puts the ball back in Pakistan's court. There seem to be 4 possible outcomes here:

1. Another terrorist attack, but that wouldn't stroke the fat egos on the other side of the border well enough. And even for the public of Pakistan, I don't think they'd be fine with a terrorist attack in exchange for being subjected to potential drought and famine. Ik someone will point out that the Pakistani army doesn't care about the citizens, but right now, the internal state in Pakistan is also on the edge in many regions. And if history is any indication, Pakistani megalomaniacs would much rather have their asses handed to them outside their borders than face the wrath of the Pakistani diaspora. And a terrorist attack isn't an impetus enough to shift the focus from internal to external.

2. Pakistan seeks international assistance and potentially tries to take India to court over the IWT. Well, fair India with it's rather new-found global geopolitical influence, will be winning that bout.

3. Asim Munir launches an all-out military campaign against India. In this scenario, Pakistan would probably cease to exist or end up with nothing left to call a military at the very least. Based on Pakistan's finances, they wouldn't be able to sustain a war with India beyond maybe a couple of weeks. And this time, care packages from Europe and USA will be not be arriving in Karachi.

4. Last and least probable, Pakistan launches nuclear strikes against India. This possibility is probably the only one that would be devastating for India. Not that a war would be comfortable but Pakistan is conventionally no match for India's military might and soft power. In case, Asim Munir is mad enough to do it, this would guarantee the end of Pakistan as a sovereign state.

So, now it's a game of who flinches first. And if history is any indication, the world knows who's itching in their pants right now.
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They've already given their response. Any facility attempting to divert water would be taken down. India currently doesn't have a facility capable of it.

India has postponed the conflict to a uncertain date beyond history and public eye, and Pakistan has assented to it.
 
Sanglamorre said:
They've already given their response. Any facility attempting to divert water would be taken down. India currently doesn't have a facility capable of it.
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Is this the real-time response of the Pakistani state after India's press briefing?
If not, it doesn't make any difference.
 
JConline said:
Is this the real-time response of the Pakistani state after India's press briefing?
If not, it doesn't make any difference.
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It surely doesn't make any difference, also as pointed out in an earlier post here mudi and his ministers have revoked IWT atleast 3 times in the past 11 years as response to Pakistani terror activities still water is flowing to Pakistan and will continue to do so. Just hollow words nothing else.
 
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