Basically, you are saying they will first take care of our front for a practice match. Only question here is how do they know it will not blow up into a wider conflict and damage them even more thereby delaying the inevitable conflict with USA for conquest of Taiwan?
No @ practise match . That was my assessment pre Pahalgam & Operation Sindoor. What comes across quite clearly is not just their nexus with Fauji Foundation but for all practical purposes they could've instigated Munira into it once he confided in them his plans to re start terrorism in India or worse they may have planted the idea in his inbred brain .
There's no space for accommodation any more between India & China . For Round 2 their engagement with Fauji Foundation will be even more deeper than before. Preparations for it may already be underway in both Paxtan & China.
In view of the above there's no way they can ignore India when they make a move on Taiwan. They'd have to take us down or beat us comprehensively such that we lose the appetite for a war.
This is the reason I suggested a shock & awe campaign where they will unleash their entire top of the line arsenal against us . This war isn't going to be restricted to the LAC. It's going to be an all out war.
The problem with the Chinese is the section of the PLA / CMC war gaming this effort & provoking open hostilities with India believe this will be accomplished in double quick time. They seem to be driven by their own hubris.
If the war turns out in to one of attrition of which there's a very strong possibility then all bets are off. You can wager what you want they will double down in trying to deliver the killer blow . What this means is extensive targeting of industrial hubs & possibly population centers .
All that infrastructure that 56" is spending on now instead of diverting part of it on defence CAPEX will come back to bite him in his wrinkled arse if he's around then.
If I understand anything from the minds of the Chinese that they want to win wars without fighting it. Looking at the propaganda they dish out it looks like they believe their citizens are on lower in intellect. I saw the propaganda video of their 6th generation fighter, they were showing they are knocking out A2A missiles fired from F-22 like mosquitoes. Even the most powerful Laser needs to concentrate it's power for minimum 5 seconds to destroy a missile.
When the economy is down & factional fights intensify , appeals to nationalism is common. Happens all across the world especially in totalitarian countries. Besides China's had a rich history in the recent past of stirring up such troubles when then internal situation gets out of hand like it did in the terrible man made famines of the Great Leap Forward when Mao was under attack from his rivals in the CCP.
Result you had 1962 , breaking off of ties with the USSR & the Ussuri river clash in the late 1960s accompanied by the Cultural Revolution .
en.wikipedia.org
I don't think they will be wasting their resources on us. I am more inclined to believe they will ask their pet dog Porkistan to do the job and they will join in if there are setbacks on our side.
Ideally they don't want to waste their resources on us. Hence the propping up of Paxtan. But as I pointed out earlier Paxtan much too weakened to do great damage militarily under the N threshold. Their forte lies in asymmetrical warfare viz terrorism which has run its course in India.
They lack the wherewithal for fledged hostilities. China will be hoping Paxtan keeps probing India till the end of this decade after which they can join Paxtan in a 2 front war.
This is the reason I stated that we must take down Fauji Foundation ASAP. Deal them the killer blow from which recovery will be impossible. We spare them & they will return.
Leaderji seems to have finally understood the gravity of the situation. Hence dire statements to the effect that another terrorist attack will see reciprocal action on Fauji Foundation themselves unlike in the past where their proxies were targeted.
Just like our former army chief Bipin Rawat was saying about our security environment, a 2 front war is a possiblity. If they want to engage with us it will only be short term like you said. They will most likely use rockets and call it a day. We obviously are not prepared at least from the air force side with lesser number of combat aircraft.
Nope . If you're referring to China they'll come at us in full force & strength. Probably if Paxtan is around they'd let them do the heavy lifting while they themselves will take the back seat though I doubt this is possible.
My only hope is we have enough
, Nirbhay, and other missiles to destroy their air bases and cut off their logistics network in Tibet. This is the only strategy we can pursue against them. Use volley of missiles to knock out their infrastructure all over Tibet and Xinjiang. If we can hold our positions without losing an inch, then they will eventually have to back out given the terrain.
Our problem is we're going about the modernization & theater ization including raising of the Rocket Force , adding numbers to the IAF , induction of new platforms & armaments after zillion tests & so on at our own sweet time.
But we should interfere if they go against US for Taiwan. Why do you think we shouldn't? I think that's our golden opportunity to neutralize one of our foes in our neighborhood.
They won't intiate Taiwan without first sorting us out. Which means it all depends on in what shape will we emerge from the war against China ! As of now the prognosis isn't good .
The only silver lining is we've 5 years. The bad news is we're still not got rid of our bad habits like babudom ,etc.
