Delhi Assembly Election, Milkipur & Erode East By-Election, 2025

Suryavanshi said:
These kind of images are kinda dishonest tbh.
I have seen Congress IT celliya also putting out such images for BJP booth.
Click to expand...
Yes true!
But multiple people reporting form multiple booths and areas at multiple time are reporting this.​
 
Thread title updated to reflect Elections in Delhi, Milkipur and Erode East.
 
shade2 said:
Is Delhi election important for Bhajipao to win?
Afaik Delhi pols is under control of central govt, is there any other reason?
Click to expand...

Winning Delhi elections is extremely bad for BJP.

They are in power in Center and now if they win Delhi state govt, they anti-incumbency for next LS elections would be off the charts.

Anything going wrong in Delhi will be squarely placed at Modi feet.
Until now nothing happening in Delhi touched Modi electorally, that will change and very fast.

The only reason BJP is putting tough fight this time around is to finish off Kejriwal.
AAP will remain in some form but Kejri and his inner coterie will be finished.
 
Prasad said:
Winning Delhi elections is extremely bad for BJP.

They are in power in Center and now if they win Delhi state govt, they anti-incumbency for next LS elections would be off the charts.

Anything going wrong in Delhi will be squarely placed at Modi feet.
Until now nothing happening in Delhi touched Modi electorally, that will change and very fast.

The only reason BJP is putting tough fight this time around is to finish off Kejriwal.
AAP will remain in some form but Kejri and his inner coterie will be finished.
Click to expand...
You've been peddling this theory since the days of DFI . By the same logic any state the BJP wins will be an albatross around their neck for the double anti incumbency it generates amongst the voters for the BJP is in power at the centre too .

Yet in 2019 , the BJP was in power in around a dozen states across the country if not more. How did that impact the results of the 2019 general elections ? Ditto for the 2024 general elections .

It's a matter of deep concern to the BJP & more than that to the Sangh that Delhi which used to be a stronghold of the erstwhile Jana Sangh when they literally had few takers across the nation has kept them out of power since 1998 .

They simply haven't been able to throw up leaders like Madanlal Khurana or Sahib Singh Verma albeit it was their rivalry which caused the downfall of the State BJP unit from which it has still to recover .

I've no clue if they'd come to power this time around though the BJP is making a big push for it especially the centre no doubt backed by the Sangh with its organisational muscle but they should definitely improve their tally of seats by leaps & bounds.
 
Azaad said:
You've been peddling this theory since the days of DFI . By the same logic any state the BJP wins will be an albatross around their neck for the double anti incumbency it generates amongst the voters for the BJP is in power at the centre too .

Yet in 2019 , the BJP was in power in around a dozen states across the country if not more. How did that impact the results of the 2019 general elections ? Ditto for the 2024 general elections .

It's a matter of deep concern to the BJP & more than that to the Sangh that Delhi which used to be a stronghold of the erstwhile Jana Sangh when they literally had few takers across the nation has kept them out of power since 1998 .

They simply haven't been able to throw up leaders like Madanlal Khurana or Sahib Singh Verma albeit it was their rivalry which caused the downfall of the State BJP unit from which it has still to recover .

I've no clue if they'd come to power this time around though the BJP is making a big push for it especially the centre no doubt backed by the Sangh with its organisational muscle but they should definitely improve their tally of seats by leaps & bounds.
Click to expand...

To answer why Delhi is different to other states, one must go back to 2012 period.
At that point Congress was in power both in Delhi state as well as Central.

At that point any negative thing happening in Delhi affected Sheila Dixit as CM but the real hammer was on Congress central leadership.
Unlike other states, where an issue is localized, issues in Delhi, even at state level get national prominence - by default.
between 2012-14, Congress absolutely got hammered just on what was happening in Delhi. They had no breathing space to concentrate on anything else.

As an example, the Kumbh stampede is already out of news. The opposition is trying but even being neighboring state to Delhi, UP news does not get as much traction.
Another example would be the farmers agitating on borders of Punjab-Haryana, unlike the farm protests in Delhi, this hardly is getting any attention.

Distance from Delhi matters a lot in setting electoral narratives.

Your point on BJP being in power in dozen states in 2019 is valid to some extent. The point though is that what happens in one of those states hardly has any impact in other state. Not just electorally but politically.
Delhi though is not just another state, there lies the biggest difference.
What happens in Delhi reflects across the country, politically. It should not but that's how the politics roll. The danger for BJP is that any issues arising out of Delhi will bog down the central leadership in Delhi, similar to what happened to Cong pre 2014 elections.

Delhi is still a strong fort for BJP, they have hardly lost their vote base.
And winning Delhi has never been a high priority for BJP. This is the first time in last 4 elections BJP had seriously put it's foot down to win Delhi.
 
Prasad said:
To answer why Delhi is different to other states, one must go back to 2012 period.
At that point Congress was in power both in Delhi state as well as Central.

At that point any negative thing happening in Delhi affected Sheila Dixit as CM but the real hammer was on Congress central leadership.
Unlike other states, where an issue is localized, issues in Delhi, even at state level get national prominence - by default.
between 2012-14, Congress absolutely got hammered just on what was happening in Delhi. They had no breathing space to concentrate on anything else.

As an example, the Kumbh stampede is already out of news. The opposition is trying but even being neighboring state to Delhi, UP news does not get as much traction.
Another example would be the farmers agitating on borders of Punjab-Haryana, unlike the farm protests in Delhi, this hardly is getting any attention.

Distance from Delhi matters a lot in setting electoral narratives.

Your point on BJP being in power in dozen states in 2019 is valid to some extent. The point though is that what happens in one of those states hardly has any impact in other state. Not just electorally but politically.
Delhi though is not just another state, there lies the biggest difference.
What happens in Delhi reflects across the country, politically. It should not but that's how the politics roll. The danger for BJP is that any issues arising out of Delhi will bog down the central leadership in Delhi, similar to what happened to Cong pre 2014 elections.

Delhi is still a strong fort for BJP, they have hardly lost their vote base.
And winning Delhi has never been a high priority for BJP. This is the first time in last 4 elections BJP had seriously put it's foot down to win Delhi.
Click to expand...
Winning Delhi has been priority for BJP and it still is. BJP suffered with mathematics in last decade in Delhi and now is the first chance in a decade to win it back.

Delhi has suffered a lot in the AAP rule in last 10-12 years and it became almost unlivable. We need BJP back there now.​
 
Azaad said:
They simply haven't been able to throw up leaders like Madanlal Khurana or Sahib Singh Verma albeit it was their rivalry which caused the downfall of the State BJP unit from which it has still to recover .

I've no clue if they'd come to power this time around though the BJP is making a big push for it especially the centre no doubt backed by the Sangh with its organisational muscle but they should definitely improve their tally of seats by leaps & bounds.
Click to expand...

Prasad said:
Delhi is still a strong fort for BJP, they have hardly lost their vote base.
And winning Delhi has never been a high priority for BJP. This is the first time in last 4 elections BJP had seriously put it's foot down to win Delhi.
Click to expand...

SKC said:
Winning Delhi has been priority for BJP and it still is. BJP suffered with mathematics in last decade in Delhi and now is the first chance in a decade to win it back.

Delhi has suffered a lot in the AAP rule in last 10-12 years and it became almost unlivable. We need BJP back there now.​
Click to expand...

So from what y'all nibbiar's say, winning or rather "retaking" Delhi is a prestige issue for Bhajipao?
Prasad's take is slightly different that even if they lose Delhi again, they will make sure to bury Khujliwal's career politically
 
Delhi Voter turnout recorded at 46% as of 3 PM;
 
shade2 said:
So from what y'all nibbiar's say, winning or rather "retaking" Delhi is a prestige issue for Bhajipao?
Prasad's take is slightly different that even if they lose Delhi again, they will make sure to bury Khujliwal's career politically
Click to expand...
Why won't it be prestige issue?
Delhi is National capital and despite being in power for two terms and into third term at center, Delhi was far from BJP/NDA grip.​
 
theprint.in

Stronghold of RSS, unwinnable for BJP since 1998—the curious political puzzle that is Delhi

As Delhi heads to polls on 5 February, the RSS remains a strong cultural force, but its political wing BJP has struggled to gain electoral dominance. ThePrint explores this paradox.
theprint.in theprint.in

Article on Coupta's site.

It says in Delhi, Bhajipao is viewed as a rich/middle-class/urbanite's party and finds no support in the poor and migrants from other states( also poor ), earlier this Gareeb voting bloc used to vote for Chorgress, then it switched to pAAP.

How true is this?

Or is it a spin of the usual "BJP is party of Baaman-Bania-Rajput" ?
 
shade2 said:
It says in Delhi, Bhajipao is viewed as a rich/middle-class/urbanite's party and finds no support in the poor and migrants from other states( also poor ), earlier this Gareeb voting bloc used to vote for Chorgress, then it switched to pAAP.

How true is this?

Or is it a spin of the usual "BJP is party of Baaman-Bania-Rajput" ?
Click to expand...
👆
 
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