Operation Sindoor

[laxman09]

On the nooclear question, as other senior maulanas have explained, you cannot just detonate an atomi bum by setting it on fire or by way of a pressure shock wave or TNT. That's not how you initiate a chain reaction.

What's more plausible is that there's a potential leakage of 'fissile' material. There's enough literature that majority of porkistan's arsenal is stored unmated i.e. the fissile material (barood) is not in the same place as the bum (asla). See below:

https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/RL34248

Its possible Kirana hills stored the fissile cores which are now either inaccessible due to tunnel collapses and maybe even unsalvageable as the structural integrity of the tunnels is compromised (unlikely) and there's risk that the U235/Pu239 can leak into the atmosphere or seep into ground water sources i.e. 'dirty bomb'.

The weapons themselves were probably in some of the air bases we targeted and that's why Uncle got his chaddies in a twist.

All I know is that we all can trust Leader Ji to do the right thing. We're all armchair analysts onlee and must remember that we only see what the players want us to see. The real game is played in the shadows. As K Subrahmanyam garu said... Have faith in Modi.

 

[craigs]

As mentioned in my post earlier, this is not correct till we see clear indication of radiation leakage.
The whole premise of this argument is based on the sniffer plane. See this flight activity please -


View: https://x.com/sunnynehrabro/status/1921686613697892537

Ownership was transferred to Pakistan to activate plausible deniability. In reality it means US is handling security for Paki nukes. That is why Abbu got spooked when the earthquakes struck.

 

[Nishaanbaaz]

Assessment of what happened at Kirana Hills according to a Navy veteran at another forum

Cropped out all other identifiers because I don't know what the rules are on posting outside stuff, but the comment itself was too interesting not to post here.

 

[Hari Sud]

Media info is beginning to emerge that Pakistani staged a nuclear blackmail to get US involved and press the Indians to stop bombing.

 

[mist_consecutive]

[Delete if already posted]

View: https://x.com/Kunal_Biswas707/status/1921748961297068510

It is confirmed 1x PAF Mirage 3/5 has been shot down in Ramban, J&K

 

[BappaRawal]

On - here's a quick AI (Perplexity Pro) analysis. Take it with a huge bucket of salt but the 10k is BS. The actual number is between 2000-3000 missiles with a ~250/year production capacity. Enjoy:

The BrahMos Aerospace ecosystem relies on a network of public and private manufacturers. The Lucknow production facility, inaugurated in May 2025, is designed to produce 80–100 missiles annually. This complements existing infrastructure, including plants operated by Godrej Aerospace and Larsen & Toubro (L&T).

• Godrej Aerospace: By September 2021, Godrej had delivered 200 airframe assemblies, each comprising 138 sub-assemblies and 1,500 parts. These airframes form the structural backbone of the missiles, suggesting a baseline production capacity of ~50–60 units annually prior to 2025.
• L&T: The company delivered its 100th Transport Launch Canister (TLC) in 2023, with each canister supporting storage, transport, and launch functions. Given the TLC’s specialized manufacturing requirements, this milestone indicates sustained production aligned with missile assembly rates.

Combined, these facilities suggest a pre-2025 annual production rate of 100–150 missiles, scaling to 200–250 missiles/year with the Lucknow plant’s full operationalization.

Military Deployment and Operational Requirements

Indian Army and Air Force Holdings​

• Indian Army: Operates 23 BrahMos mobile autonomous launchers, each typically configured with 3–4 missiles per system. Assuming 4 missiles per launcher and a 50% reserve stockpile, this translates to 138–184 missiles (23 × 4 × 1.5). [My take: This number is incorrect. From memory, when I'd last checked we have 5-6 operational regiments of which equals 300-400 missiles]
• Indian Air Force (IAF): As of 2022, 40 Sukhoi Su-30MKI aircraft were modified to carry BrahMos missiles. With each jet capable of deploying one missile and a 100% reserve ratio (operational + spare missiles), the IAF likely maintains 80–120 missiles.

Naval Deployments​

While exact figures are classified, the Indian Navy’s BrahMos deployments include:

• Ship-based systems: Installed on destroyers like the Kolkata-class and frigates such as the Talwar-class.
• Coastal batteries: Shore-based units for maritime defence.
• Open-source estimates suggest the Navy operates 50–70 launchers, with a similar reserve ratio to the Army, implying 300–420 missiles.

Export Commitments and Their Impact​

Philippine Contracts​

In 2024–2025, India delivered two BrahMos batteries to the Philippines under a $375 million deal, with negotiations ongoing for seven additional batteries. Each battery typically includes 3–4 launchers and 12–16 missiles. Assuming 12 missiles per battery, the total export commitment amounts to 108–144 missiles (9 × 12).

Other Prospective Buyers

Indonesia, Thailand, and Gulf states have expressed interest, but no confirmed orders exist beyond the Philippines. Export production likely occurs in parallel with domestic manufacturing, minimizing inventory drawdowns.

Synthesis of Inventory Estimates

Assuming an average annual production of 120 missiles from 2007 to 2024 (17 years), total output would approximate 2,040 missiles. Adjusting for:​

• Pre-2021 lower capacity: Early production likely averaged 50–80 missiles/year, rising post-2018 with Modi’s defense corridor push4.
• Post-2021 expansion: Increased to 150–200 missiles/year with Godrej and L&T scaling23.

A conservative estimate places total production at 1,500–1,800 missiles by 2025.

Inventory Adjustments

• Exports: ~100–150 missiles (Philippines deliveries and spares)68.
• Testing and attrition: 5–10% of production (~75–180 missiles) allocated to trials and training.

Operational Inventory​

Subtracting exports and attrition, India’s active stockpile likely ranges between 1,200–1,500 missiles. This aligns with:

• Army/IAF requirements: ~500–700 missiles.
• Naval needs: ~300–500 missiles.
• Strategic reserves: ~400–600 missiles.

Looking at the state of affairs in Pakistan, India needs only 100 to bring it to its knees

 

[Hari Sud]

It is good time for Pakistani Army chief to commit suicide as he is the one who started the fight. Now his war setup did not succeed rather got badly beaten then he should get a rope and hang himself from the nearest roof hook.

That will be the right thing to do for this Army chief’s.

 

[silentassassin265]

If there are a hundred nuclear weapons stored in the Kirana Hills and the Indian Air Force bombed the site, even if one detonates, it could trigger an earthquake. This initial explosion might also lead to subsequent detonations, causing additional earthquakes over time.

Nukes don't explode due to impact, you have to create fission in order to activate and blow the nuke.
If nuke missile are hit they will just leak the radiation which is even worse than nuke blast.

 

[Muzh]

Quite a few people are curious about these seemingly mysterious earthquakes that have been occurring in Pakistan lately. So I decided to give my two cents on this topic.

First explanation: these earthquakes could just be that earthquakes.

However, some of you may not be convinced that these are indeed the earthquakes. The reason for your suspicion could be the frequency at which these earthquakes are happening. If you are not convinced that these are indeed the earthquakes, then you may be wondering what are these then?

First explanation: maybe Pakistanis are doing the nuclear tests.

Second explanation: maybe Pakistani nuclear weapons are accidentally exploding.

So let us talk about accidental explosion of fission bombs. We are going to keep our conjectures confined to fission bombs. It is because, to the best of my knowledge, Pakistan does not posses fusion bombs. I will begin with stating that, to the best of my knowledge, as of yet, we do not have any recored incident of a nuclear bomb exploding accidentally.

Having said that, I would like to mention, theoretically speaking, it is possible for a fission bomb to explode accidentally depending on the design of the bomb. In a fission bomb, one of the four types of triggers can be used. I will list them below:

1. Gun-type design
2. Implosion design
3. Neutron initiators
4. Barometric-pressure sensors

I obviously do not know which one of these triggers are being used by Pakistani fission bombs. However, I do know that, as far as accidental detonation of a bomb is concerned, theoretically speaking of course, Gun-Type Design is the candidate of our choice. Why? In this design, you have a bullet consisting of Uranium-235 which is fired at a target mass consisting of Uranium-235 (main fission material). As you guessed it, some type of explosive is used to propel the Uranium-235 bullet. If something can cause this explosive to explode then, it will trigger the fission reaction, resulting in the explosion of fission bomb. Typically, the casing of a nuclear bomb is very strong and can withstand quite a bit of stress and therefore accidental explosion is highly unlikely.

As far as the designs that may contain one of the other three types of triggers, it is quite possible that electrical circuits can malfunction and therefore accidental fission reaction (nuclear explosion) is possible. Keep in mind that, the designers place appropriate safeguards when they design nuclear bombs. So it is not quite easy for a bomb to go off accidentally.

Last but not least, a team of qualified saboteurs should be able to sabotage any bomb.

Now, I hope you have enough information to makeup your own mind on this topic.

 

[craigs]

Nukes don't explode due to impact, you have to create fission in order to activate and blow the nuke.
If nuke missile are hit they will just leak the radiation which is even worse than nuke blast.

Nukes explode due to impact onlee. Conventional explosives cause sub critical parts to compact by impact which then triggers an explosive chain reaction run off: https://ahf.nuclearmuseum.org/ahf/history/science-behind-atom-bomb/

Create fission to generate a bigger explosion is thermo nuclear bombs. Pakis don't have those: https://www.britannica.com/technology/thermonuclear-bomb

 

[TringTringMonster]

How many of ya'll think we might be prepping for a winter offensive?

Keep the conflict simmering till the passes of the himalayas close and Chinese threat is gone.

Pakis being the inbreds they are will provoke something that they have been doing till now.

It's all speculation though. But I just cannot wrap my head around what GoI is thinking.

 

[silentassassin265]

How many of ya'll think we might be prepping for a winter offensive?

Keep the conflict simmering till the passes of the himalayas close and Chinese threat is gone.

Pakis being the inbreds they are will provoke something that they have been doing till now.

It's all speculation though. But I just cannot wrap my head around what GoI is thinking.

November - December will be the month when Chinese border freeze right?
Their border alone won't matter as long as karachi port is running.

 

[Nutcracker]

That channel should change its name to Fart and Lore Unit. Both of these messages are deleted now.

View: https://t.me/goreunit/15432

This is concerning if drones are able to ingress as well as disengage at will.... It means they are learning and building upon tactics...


View: https://t.me/goreunit/15427

 

[samsaptaka]

doesn't matter now, once it has been denied officially by GoI, it's between muricans and pakis to sort it out amongst themselves.

I am asking as a hypothetical question, would such a strike on N facility storage require direct approval from PM ? Or its a part if a pre approved escalatory doctrine

 

[TringTringMonster]

November - December will be the month when Chinese border freeze right?
Their border alone won't matter as long as karachi port is running.

Yeah but we won't have to worry about a ground incursion from Chinese.

Along with that it also gives BLA and the rest to consolidate position.

Gives us time to prep, mobilize, get logistics in place.

It might also lull pakis into thinking it's de escalation.

One sure shot indicator of this is, if weapons and everything is fast tracked and we keep moving stuff to forward positions.

 

[Anants]

That channel should change its name to Fart and Lore Unit. Both of these messages are deleted now.

Actually twitter should be quoted I see telegram messages often disaapear. Precisely for that reason I quote links and not screenshot so that wrong news does not remain embedded atleast.

Hoshiarpur claim was true, that something locals over there confirmed. And you should also remember info is being rightly and tightly being controlled to contain panic. Lets see drone activity becomes new norm or not.

 

[MarDePopins]

Pretty valid points..

This entire encounter panned like Isreal Iran skirmishes.

India pounded paxtan at will nd with precision nd impunity.. only to convey message.. that we can strike u wherever we want.. no place of urs is secure nd out of reach for us..


View: https://x.com/moeedahmed/status/1921587613217014269?t=vLlOKXlThXdCqcy79d7pWg&s=19

 

[MarDePopins]

A long rant by a paxtani quashed the whole propaganda of paxtan..

If tweetts not visible then use vpn


View: https://x.com/pakistanwalli/status/1921243856970125445?t=YcA21e8dK8VhhRxUuTBqgw&s=19

 

[samsaptaka]

With our recent military successes in Pakistan and our agreement to a ceasefire it is high time that India actually starts building settlements with gun licences being handed over to hindus in these settlements all around kashmir especially close to the border.

We had a ready made template of settlements being built by the Israelis in west bank all the way till the borders of Jordan. Cheap land great housing new universities and schools there is an entire structure created by the Israelis that we can follow in Kashmir.

Our achievements over the last few dates are commendable but only a drop in the bucket wrt the herculean task that stands in front of us.

From demographics to internal cleanups and illegal immigration its high time we put our focus on this especially when Pakistan in neutered for sometime now.

The threats India faces are existential in nature and we have no time to rest.

Indeed, whatever happened to the deportation of porkie pigs with visas or porkie illegals, news on the front has completely stopped. Are we still deporting or stopped it or stunned that porkie has closed the gates and refused to take back their own pigs?
Any update appreciated

 

[samsaptaka]

Our PR game is extremely weak. Even though we have presented an overwhelming amount of evidence to support our claims where the other side hasn't even presented a shred of it yet their version is being broadcasted all around the world. China is enemy of the west yet they seem to have the western media in their pockets as they are singing high praises of Chinese military hardwares.

We stand no where. Even media of otherwise friendly states are either taking neutral stand of presenting both sides views as "alleged" damages or outright siding with the enemy. Where we are going wrong in media management?

Like I said before, western msm is filled with commies and abrahamics, so will always rant against pagan hindooos and would like to see our complete destruction. So wishing for their neutral coverage is I am sorry a foolish expectation. Learn from VlaPu and our own Modi who don't care jackshit what media says. We will not win the IW against the west period. Unless you wholesale buy up CNN, BBC etc ....