Canada : News & Discussions.

lol multiple sources are now showing liberals taking a sizable lead over the cons.
Looks like Trump’s 51st state rhetoric flipped the game for liberals? @GaudaNaresh
PP must be feeling gutted. Dude was way ahead just a month ago.


View: https://x.com/polymarket/status/1905302034162876628?s=46

Even Kamala was "leading" when Biden dropped out of the POTUS race, it could just a dead cat bounce for LPC, but that being said, trump has definitely given a boost to libtards in canada by running his mouth.

PP was also kinda like how our opposition is, he tried to market himself was "not Trudeau" , instead of having strong policy positions of his own, like for example he has a empty space movement guy in his close circle and still hasn't spoken openly against mass migration .
 
lol multiple sources are now showing liberals taking a sizable lead over the cons.
Looks like Trump’s 51st state rhetoric flipped the game for liberals? @GaudaNaresh
PP must be feeling gutted. Dude was way ahead just a month ago.


View: https://x.com/polymarket/status/1905302034162876628?s=46


I was rooting for the conservatives few years back but then these Canadian conservatives are competing with liberals to lick some fresh Khalitani crap right outa the hole.

Really couldn't care who wins or loses, I would be happy if either of them lost.

fk em
 

B.C. man accused in conspiracy to obtain U.S. technology for Pakistan's nuclear weapons program​


According to an indictment filed in U.S. District Court in Minnesota, Mohammad Jawaid Aziz and two unnamed co-conspirators allegedly obtained thousands of dollars worth of banned equipment for Pakistan's military and weapons programs through a series of front companies.



View: https://youtu.be/EIFlLsN7qvE
 
Wonder will Carney taker panga with Bhikaristan as his predecessor did with us?
CSIS seems to have some sort of working relationship with ISI, based on the number of times they turn a blind eye on empty spaces. if the trends hold true, highly unlikely any canadian PM will take on pakiland.

even in this case, arrest was made by muricans in murica. not canada.
 
Brief Summary by Grok:

The 2025 Canadian federal election, held on April 28, was a pivotal contest shaped by domestic and international pressures. Prime Minister Mark Carney, who assumed Liberal leadership in March 2025 after Justin Trudeau’s resignation, called a snap election to secure a mandate amid a trade war sparked by U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs and annexation threats. These external factors, alongside domestic concerns like cost of living and housing, drove voter sentiment.


The Liberals, trailing the Conservatives by double digits in 2023, staged a historic comeback, fueled by Carney’s global economic credentials and a patriotic response to Trump’s rhetoric. Polls, such as Abacus Data’s final survey (April 24–27), showed the Liberals with a two-point popular vote edge, projecting 151–226 seats (central estimate: 191), while the Conservatives, led by Pierre Poilievre, were projected at 94–156 seats. The first-past-the-post system amplified Liberal gains, particularly in vote-rich Ontario, Quebec, and Atlantic Canada, despite inefficiencies in Conservative vote distribution, concentrated in the west.

CTV News projected a Liberal minority government by April 28 evening, though a majority (172+ seats) remained possible. The NDP, led by Jagmeet Singh, and the Bloc Québécois faced significant losses, with projections of 0–18 and 12–29 seats, respectively, as voters consolidated behind the Liberals and Conservatives, potentially capturing over 80% of the vote—a level unseen since 1958. Advance voting hit a record 7.3 million (25% above 2021), signaling high engagement, with turnout estimated at 60–70%.
Key issues included managing U.S. relations (favoring Carney, trusted by 41% vs. Poilievre’s 26% per YouGov) and economic pressures like inflation and housing, where Poilievre held an edge. The campaign’s volatility, driven by Trump’s influence and Carney’s rapid ascent, marked a rare realignment, squeezing smaller parties and polarizing the electorate. If the Liberals secure a minority, they may rely on the NDP or Bloc for support, though formal coalitions are historically rare. A Conservative win would shift policy rightward, emphasizing fiscal restraint and domestic priorities. Final results, still pending as of April 29, will clarify the government’s stability and Canada’s trajectory in a tense geopolitical climate.
 
1. Seat Projections and Party Performance
  • Liberal Party (LPC):
    • Projected Seats: 151–226 (central estimate: ~191, CTV projects minority government).
    • Leading/Elected: ~111 seats with 48,127/75,485 polls reported.
    • Performance: The Liberals, led by Mark Carney, capitalized on a late surge, driven by patriotic sentiment against U.S. tariff threats and Carney’s economic credentials. They regained ground in Ontario, Quebec, and Atlantic Canada, overcoming a double-digit polling deficit from 2023.
  • Conservative Party (CPC):
    • Projected Seats: 94–156.
    • Leading/Elected: ~104 seats with 48,127/75,485 polls reported.
    • Performance: Led by Pierre Poilievre, the Conservatives maintained strength in Alberta and the Prairies but struggled with vote inefficiency, particularly in Ontario, where their vote share didn’t translate to seats.
  • Bloc Québécois (BQ):
    • Projected Seats: 12–29.
    • Leading/Elected: ~19 seats with 48,127/75,485 polls reported.
    • Performance: The BQ, limited to Quebec’s 78 seats, saw reduced support, leading in ~25 ridings with an 8-point popular vote deficit to the Liberals in Quebec.
  • New Democratic Party (NDP):
    • Projected Seats: 0–18.
    • Leading/Elected: ~2 seats with 48,127/75,485 polls reported.
    • Performance: The NDP, led by Jagmeet Singh, faced a collapse, leading in only 8 ridings (down from 24 in 2021), losing official party status (<12 seats). Singh resigned post-election.
  • Green Party (GPC):
    • Projected Seats: 0–1.
    • Leading/Elected: 1 seat (Elizabeth May’s Saanich–Gulf Islands).
    • Performance: The Greens were marginalized, with co-leader Jonathan Pedneault losing in Montreal and climate issues overshadowed by trade and economic concerns.
 
2. Popular Vote (Preliminary, Based on Partial Results)
  • From posts on X with 307/343 seats reporting (~10:35 PM ET, April 28):
    • Liberals: 46.8%
    • Conservatives: 39.6%
    • Bloc Québécois: 6.9%
    • NDP: 4.6%
    • Green: 0.9%
  • Earlier counts (32/343 seats, 7:42 AM IST, April 29) showed Liberals at 50.2% and Conservatives at 38.6%, indicating a tightening race as more ridings reported.
  • Abacus Data’s final poll (April 24–27) predicted a Liberal popular vote lead of ~2 points, aligning with these trends.
3. Regional Breakdown
  • Ontario (121 seats):
    • Liberals dominated urban ridings, flipping key seats like St. Paul’s, while Conservatives held rural and suburban areas. No NDP seats reported.
  • Quebec (78 seats):
    • Liberals led in 41 ridings, BQ in 25, Conservatives in 11, NDP in 1 (11:25 PM ET, April 28). Liberals had an ~8% popular vote lead over BQ.
  • Alberta (37 seats):
    • Conservatives won most ridings, with tight races in Edmonton and Calgary. Liberals and NDP lost ground (e.g., Edmonton Southeast flipped to CPC).
  • British Columbia (43 seats):
    • Liberals and Conservatives split urban ridings, NDP weakened, Greens held Saanich–Gulf Islands.
  • Atlantic Canada (32 seats):
    • Liberals swept most ridings, with Conservatives competitive in New Brunswick. High advance voting boosted turnout.
  • Prairies and Territories (32 seats):
    • Conservatives dominated Manitoba, Saskatchewan, and the Territories, with Liberals picking up urban pockets.
 
In tabular form:

CategoryLiberal Party (LPC)Conservative Party (CPC)Bloc Québécois (BQ)New Democratic Party (NDP)Green Party (GPC)
LeaderMark CarneyPierre PoilievreYves-François BlanchetJagmeet SinghElizabeth May
Projected Seats151–226 (~191)94–156 (~104)12–29 (~19)0–18 (~2)0–1 (~1)
Leading/Elected Seats~111~104~19~21
Popular Vote (Preliminary)46.80%39.60%6.90%4.60%0.90%
Polls Reported48127/7548548127/7548548127/7548548127/7548548127/75485
Regional Performance - Ontario (121 seats)Dominant in urbanStrong in rural/suburbanN/A0 seats0 seats
Regional Performance - Quebec (78 seats)Leading in 41 ridingsLeading in 11 ridingsLeading in 25 ridingsLeading in 1 riding0 seats
Regional Performance - Alberta (37 seats)Limited urban winsDominantN/AWeak0 seats
Regional Performance - British Columbia (43 seats)Split urbanSplit urbanN/AWeak1 seat
Regional Performance - Atlantic Canada (32 seats)Swept most ridingsCompetitive in NBN/AWeak0 seats
Regional Performance - Prairies/Territories (32 seats)Urban pocketsDominantN/AWeak0 seats
Vote EfficiencyHigh (ON QC)Low (West-heavy)Moderate (QC only)LowVery low
Leader’s Riding OutcomeWon Nepean (likely)Won CarletonTBDResigned post-electionWon Saanich–Gulf Islands
 
Voter Turnout and EngagementValue
Advance Voting7.3 million (25% above 2021)
Mail-in Ballots960000 returned (1.2M issued)
Estimated Turnout60–70% (28.9M eligible voters)
Demographic Priorities - Young (18–29)Young (18–29): Change (57%)
Boomers: U.S. relations (56%)
Demographic Priorities - BoomersAB (63%), Prairies (58%): Change
QC (57%): U.S. relations
 

Justinder Singh Castro's party wins the Cuckadian elections thanks to foreign interference, pic related

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Castro's party was in the gutter, but this Orange gorilla had to bring them out of it with his Tareefs
 

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