Germany




A small part of an bigger picture.

Apparently entire German car makers in China facing reduced sales over the year. Chinese automobiles were trumping them. Now they are bringing them to Europe itself.

All European manufacturers were facing an extinction event due to strong China man.

Few of them believe that India can provide an support. Apparently Citroen believe this. But talk is cheap and so far they are shit in executing any India specific products.
 
After coalition collapse last year. Germs many are having election today.

1740310146463.webp
 
Elections #Germania - Final results (n° seats):

#CDU /CSU 28.5% (208)
#AFD 20.8% (152)
#SPD 16.4% (120)
#Verdi 11.6% (85)
#Linke 8.8% (64)
#SSW 0.2% (1)
#BSW 4.97% (0)
#FDP 4.3% (0)

Election threshold: 5%.

Total seats: 630.

The Grand Coalition between #CDU of #Merz and #SPD of #Scholz is possible.
 
Summary from Grok:

In the German federal election held on February 23, 2025, the conservative CDU/CSU, led by Friedrich Merz, won the most votes with around 28-30% of the vote share, positioning Merz as the likely next chancellor.

The far-right AfD secured second place with a historic 20-21%, nearly doubling its previous support.

The SPD, under outgoing Chancellor Olaf Scholz, fell to third with 15-16%, marking its worst result in decades.

The Greens and Die Linke followed with 13-14% and 6-9%, respectively, while smaller parties like the FDP and BSW narrowly missed the 5% threshold needed for parliamentary seats.

With a record 83.5% voter turnout, coalition talks are expected to be complex, likely requiring Merz to form a multi-party government.

Based on the preliminary results from the German federal election on February 23, 2025, here’s the projected seat distribution in the Bundestag (630 seats total, requiring 316 for a majority):​
  • CDU/CSU: 208 seats (around 28-30% of the vote)​
  • AfD: 152 seats (around 20-21% of the vote)​
  • SPD: 120 seats (around 15-16% of the vote)​
  • Greens: 85 seats (around 13-14% of the vote)​
  • Die Linke: 64 seats (around 6-9% of the vote)​
  • SSW: 1 seat (minority party exemption)​
The FDP and BSW did not cross the 5% threshold and are projected to have no seats unless they won at least three direct constituencies, which doesn’t appear to be the case based on current data.

The CDU/CSU, led by Friedrich Merz, will need a coalition partner, with a grand coalition with the SPD (totaling 328 seats) being the most straightforward option, though negotiations could shift outcomes.​
 
Summary from Grok:

In the German federal election held on February 23, 2025, the conservative CDU/CSU, led by Friedrich Merz, won the most votes with around 28-30% of the vote share, positioning Merz as the likely next chancellor.

The far-right AfD secured second place with a historic 20-21%, nearly doubling its previous support.

The SPD, under outgoing Chancellor Olaf Scholz, fell to third with 15-16%, marking its worst result in decades.

The Greens and Die Linke followed with 13-14% and 6-9%, respectively, while smaller parties like the FDP and BSW narrowly missed the 5% threshold needed for parliamentary seats.

With a record 83.5% voter turnout, coalition talks are expected to be complex, likely requiring Merz to form a multi-party government.

Based on the preliminary results from the German federal election on February 23, 2025, here’s the projected seat distribution in the Bundestag (630 seats total, requiring 316 for a majority):​
  • CDU/CSU: 208 seats (around 28-30% of the vote)​
  • AfD: 152 seats (around 20-21% of the vote)​
  • SPD: 120 seats (around 15-16% of the vote)​
  • Greens: 85 seats (around 13-14% of the vote)​
  • Die Linke: 64 seats (around 6-9% of the vote)​
  • SSW: 1 seat (minority party exemption)​
The FDP and BSW did not cross the 5% threshold and are projected to have no seats unless they won at least three direct constituencies, which doesn’t appear to be the case based on current data.

The CDU/CSU, led by Friedrich Merz, will need a coalition partner, with a grand coalition with the SPD (totaling 328 seats) being the most straightforward option, though negotiations could shift outcomes.​

The far left and the radical right have both gained - just like they did in France (the French RN has gradually moderated a lot of their stances so clubbing them together with AFD is a stretch but still). These might just be protest votes - it the normie political parties take a more cautious approach to dealing with immigration etc these parties will go back to being fringe players again (just like they did in Denmark etc).
 


Ironically, the ‘east Germany’ now wants capitalism while the ‘west’ is stuck in Marxist commie style governance!
Also note the migration distribution, the AfD seats are an exact inverse match with foreign born voters.
No way they can even win an election with the numbers on the left poised to get skewed even more.
With the 2 big parties playing a ‘fixed match’ this will be Akin to BJP trying to win in Muslim dominated seats.


View: https://x.com/iyervval/status/1893883850964471859?s=46

View: https://x.com/rmxnews/status/1893957984260067423?s=46
 
German election results are out.

As usual, CDU, dominant since 1949, has won.

Actually, Germany is an electoral autocracy. Let me explain what Dhruv Rathee has not told you.

Most likely, CDU will ally with SPD, which has been its main opposition for 70 years, and form govt.

Don't be surprised. Actually, Germany doesn't even have an opposition.

Technically CDU and SPD are the two main rivals, but they keep allying and forming govt. In fact, 3 out of Angela Merkel's 4 terms in office were coalitions of CDU & SPD!

Imagine if India had BJP Cong alliance govts for decades!

Before every election, CDU & SPD pretend to be rivals. The night of the election results, they form alliance and start ruling together.

So why does some new party not come and disrupt this scam of CDU & SPD?

Because the 2 ruling parties have made the rule that a party needs at least 5% vote to get even 1 seat in the House. If you get 4.9% vote, you will get ZERO seats.

Can you imagine how hard that is? In India, only BJP & Cong get more than 5% votes!

So Germany has two ruling parties which pretend to be rivals, and the system is rigged so no new party can emerge.

Can one of the big parties split? If a big party splits, the vote share of the faction will fall below 5%, and it will be down to 0 seats!

So you can't form new parties, you can't split existing parties, and the two big parties are actually in alliance!

This is mafia, not democracy.

And you would be surprised at the laws in Germany. Since AfD became a challenge, German govt ordered ban on its funds, even sent the spy agency to tap their phones. Mind you, this is not secret. This is open, and fully legal.

Even beyond this, the system has one final line of defense.

Nobody even knows how the votes convert into seats. There are some formulas, such as "Hare-Niemeyer method" or "Sainte Lague-Schepers method." The govt keeps changing the method every 5-6 years depending on whatever is convenient.

In fact, nobody even knows how many seats there are in Parliament. There are other formulas to add or subtract "overhang seats" or "leveling seats."

This is changed constantly, as per convenience of the ruling govt to keep any rival out!

Is this democracy or a joke?

But nobody will call Germany an "electoral autocracy." Every activist in the world is busy criticizing Indian democracy.



View: https://x.com/AbhishBanerj/status/1893912528511807705

View: https://x.com/AbhishBanerj/status/1893978273962721611
 

Latest Replies

Featured Content

Trending Threads

Back
Top