Indian Economy

discussion at DFI had moved ahead on this topic of where that post from team BHP is at the moment.

this discussion is incomplete without taking into account R&D financing conversion rate,
conversion rate between financing --> R&D funding --> intellectual property --> commercial viability --> commercial application --> sales --> Return of Investment.

this conversion rate is not 1:1. if a company invests in 100 intellectual properties, only a few might give commercial returns. cost of bad returns will be recovered from the ones with commercial sales.

if business people(some not all) saw commercial benefit in funding R&D, more of them would be doing it.

do they have comments on this aspect?

since BOSCH was mentioned, which is a german company, let's compare central bank repo rates between two countries. companies have to fund R&D either with loans, equity or cash reserves.

now the situation is a little better, but earlier outside of a few biggies hardly any company had cheap funds to spend on R&D.


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To all generol haters ,unfortunately even aam janata is happy with foreign maal. Desi baniyas ( business men irrespective of caste ) are happy with screwdrivergiri and fooling masses with talks of indegionous tech.

"Our Indian manufacturers have grown up and building their own engines. They do need to work with companies like AVL as they have time-tested advanced simulation environments."

Hopium copium devoid of facts , just like license manufacturing Russian engines don't make HAL IP owners or give them expertise for clean state design e.g the Tejas saga ( along with Kaveri engine troubles ) since 1990s.

Detractors of my reasoning will have to prove (for any quality discussion) how much ip tata /Mahindra actually own or have self developed etc wrt ice technology.


"Bosch builds electronics which are used by literally every manufacturer. These devices can be built by others, but Bosch has proven reliability over the years. It is best to use the product from their factory."

If the comparision is with western automotive manufacturers ,yes they too use technology from others but they on their own hold many patents ( that are useful and have been incorporated into production models) in key technology areas

e g Benz using technology from Bosch



But then consider the technical ip that Benz holds by itself
"On January 29, 1886, Carl Benz registered a patent for a “vehicle powered by a gaseous fuel engine.” Since then, we have refined automobiles with more than 114,000 patent applications and developed numerous pioneering innovations. Our current focus involves the CASE technologies."


Unless we accept the facts what we are lacking in key areas and acknowledge that we depend on other advanced economies for critical technologies , how are we going to develop those on our own?

Safety quality and research these are the basic tenets required for us to develop key technologies, unfortunately private sector and our society as a whole don't take the three aspects seriously.

e.g safety/quality - cough syruph contamination, fda notice to pharma manufacturers , people tried to paint it as a conspiracy by westerners , instead of getting to the root cause and rectifying it.

"For Manu Saale to quit Mercedes and work for Mahindra, it would have to be a very sweet deal."

A single leader will help but more importantly we should create the ecosystem , private companies willing to invest heavily in research, researchers getting good career prospects.

"But BEML is developing an indigenous 1500 HP engine for military vehicles though."
regarding that I have already wrote here , for the interested dig into technology tranfer from tetra bamer polish company to beml hanging fire since 90s.

"Tata/Mahindra/Bajaj/Hero/Royal Enfield/TVS etc leaning on specialist firms is a no-brainer because such firms spend a significant amount of R&D on engine development. After all, it is their only business. So for a relatively small fee, Indian companies will get access to the best ICE technology. They can then focus on what really matters for Tata/Mahindra/Bajaj - which is overall product development."

With all due respect - true baniya speak, this is what makes indian companies to import api in bulk from china to manufacture medicine ( whose basic research was done by foreign pharma firms ) and then make tall claims of being pharmacy to world.

This tall claim was stress tested when usa stopped critical inputs for Oxford vaccine ( which was misleadingly presented as indigenous vaccine from SII), don't take my opinion as negative ,but we have to criticise our current practises so that we improve and become technologically independent.


"we see this specialization phenomenon more prominently in aircraft engines. Whether it is Boeing or Airbus or Embraer or COMAC,"

Very good to compare tata, Mahindra with Boeing or Airbus but as mentioned in the case with Bosch/Benz do try to grasp the fact that Boeing and Airbus on their own are leaders in key aviation technology, that they developed in house.

We can take this in rage and try to shout and claim we are number one in technology or we can do a calm analysis of the facts, dig deeper and accept shortcomings where identified and acknowledge our dependece on Western technology and then take necessary measures to overcome them .
 
. incremental nature of technology and innovation
. did the western world start with jet engine- it started with hot air balloons then wright brother plane .....
. Our society as a whole should imbibe the concept of quality safety research
.true - research needs heavy spending but are we investing in incremental innovation and tinkering which doesn't cost a fortune
. Most of the technology transfer in India us jet deal is basic material science, and the leaders have reached there by incremental research over a period of time

"include special coatings for corrosion; casting, machining and coating for Single Crystal for turbine blades; casting, machining and coating of nozzle guide vanes and other hot parts; blisk machining; forging/ power metallurgy discs for turbine; machining of thin walled titanium casing; friction inertia welding for fan and after burner; Polymer Matrix Composites (PMC) for bypass polymer duct; Ceramic Matrix Composites (CMC) for LPNGV, flaps; laser drilling technology for combustor; bottle boring of shafts."
 
A good starting point would be to consider a case where much capital funding is not required but are we technology leaders in that sphere?

Software

At the time when we were looking for a new forum software, do we have an original indian alternative.

Our alternative to Google, Facebook ,Gmail, WhatsApp.

But things are changing there is an Indian who is in the Linux core group.

A bharat web browser is being developed ( which someone sarcastically hoped would not be a rebdged chromium)
 
. incremental nature of technology and innovation
. did the western world start with jet engine- it started with hot air balloons then wright brother plane .....
. Our society as a whole should imbibe the concept of quality safety research
.true - research needs heavy spending but are we investing in incremental innovation and tinkering which doesn't cost a fortune
. Most of the technology transfer in India us jet deal is basic material science, and the leaders have reached there by incremental research over a period of time

"include special coatings for corrosion; casting, machining and coating for Single Crystal for turbine blades; casting, machining and coating of nozzle guide vanes and other hot parts; blisk machining; forging/ power metallurgy discs for turbine; machining of thin walled titanium casing; friction inertia welding for fan and after burner; Polymer Matrix Composites (PMC) for bypass polymer duct; Ceramic Matrix Composites (CMC) for LPNGV, flaps; laser drilling technology for combustor; bottle boring of shafts."

People fail to realize. just how good the Kaveri engine is, once you factor our engine building experience.
Lets compare Kaveri to F414 in performance, the superior cousin of the F404 ( the three main things being size, weight and thrust)
In Thrust, Kaveri is behind by 11%
In size, Kaveri is smaller by 12% in length and nearly identical(miniscully larger) in diameter.
In weight Kaveri is 5.9% heavier.

On surface, this is like comparing a mercedez to an ambassador but you have to remember, this is comparing an engine manufacturer who's gone through the ENTIRE engine production stages- from the car engine inside a plane (1930s and 40s) to a turbojet ( 1950s-1970s) to a turbofan(1980s-present), to an engine manufacturer who literally skipped all the earlier stages and came to the 3rd generation at first shot.
This is like comparing the A student who's been A student from grade 7-12, with a dude who learnt how to read 2 years before attempting grade12 finals and still got a B+.
 

Electronic goods exports surge 37 pc; dairy and poultry products by 56 pc in July 24 (YoY)

1724004643246.png
 
Per capita car sales in Gujarat is nearly 10 times higher than Pakistan, and almost 100 times higher than Asian tiger Bangladesh. And this is compared to their record car sales figures in both countries. If i used 2023 sales figures, the result would be even worse. Every country in the subcon is blatantly lying about their GDP figures. Bangladesh's real GDP cannot be higher than $200 billion max.


View: https://x.com/IndexofGujarat/status/1825842716334342222
 



View attachment 7095
Of what we export, how much money actually India earn from electronics export ?
 
Of what we export, how much money actually India earn from electronics export ?
.
Value addition is in the range of 15-20%. Expected to touch 35% by 2030.

As regards domestic value addition, the sector has also contributed around 15 to 18 per cent and has generated approximately 1.3 million jobs.
.

The report also forecasts that India's electronics exports could reach $240 billion, with domestic value addition expected to surpass 35%. In a report on Thursday, NITI Aayog stated that India should set a target of achieving $500 billion in electronics manufacturing by 2030
 
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discussion at DFI had moved ahead on this topic of where that post from team BHP is at the moment.

this discussion is incomplete without taking into account R&D financing conversion rate,
conversion rate between financing --> R&D funding --> intellectual property --> commercial viability --> commercial application --> sales --> Return of Investment.

this conversion rate is not 1:1. if a company invests in 100 intellectual properties, only a few might give commercial returns. cost of bad returns will be recovered from the ones with commercial sales.

if business people(some not all) saw commercial benefit in funding R&D, more of them would be doing it.

do they have comments on this aspect?

since BOSCH was mentioned, which is a german company, let's compare central bank repo rates between two countries. companies have to fund R&D either with loans, equity or cash reserves.

now the situation is a little better, but earlier outside of a few biggies hardly any company had cheap funds to spend on R&D.


View attachment 7047View attachment 7048

in the context of above post, was checking ola electric's patents. they have 27 patents in india , 7 in US and 3 in UK. now they are have gone for IPO and have picked up 6000 crores from market.

 
in the context of above post, was checking ola electric's patents. they have 27 patents in india , 7 in US and 3 in UK. now they are have gone for IPO and have picked up 6000 crores from market.


in case any one knows how to check patents, how to check how many of mahindra's patents is engine related?

 
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Per capita car sales in Gujarat is nearly 10 times higher than Pakistan, and almost 100 times higher than Asian tiger Bangladesh. And this is compared to their record car sales figures in both countries. If i used 2023 sales figures, the result would be even worse. Every country in the subcon is blatantly lying about their GDP figures. Bangladesh's real GDP cannot be higher than $200 billion max.

Pakistan is no yardstick or metric of comparison. Pakistan,the IMF beggar is extremely close to a Least Developed country and Bangladesh(another LDC) is a fugazi oasis.

So, comparing economic indices with both might make us look good but the real world is much bigger.Almost 65% of the countries in the world are either rich or upper middle-income group countries and we are nowhere near in their leagues.

In the US, Mexico is stereotypically benchmarked as a 3rd world country but even Mexico is at least 6 times richer than India. This shows how much work we have to do as a country.
 
Pakistan is no yardstick or metric of comparison. Pakistan,the IMF beggar is extremely close to a Least Developed country and Bangladesh(another LDC) is a fugazi oasis.

So, comparing economic indices with both might make us look good but the real world is much bigger.Almost 65% of the countries in the world are either rich or upper middle-income group countries and we are nowhere near in their leagues.

In the US, Mexico is stereotypically benchmarked as a 3rd world country but even Mexico is at least 6 times richer than India. This shows how much work we have to do as a country.

how many of these rich and middle income countries are plugged into U.S and EU common markets thru free trade agreements?
 
India has a vast AI talent pool, where 20-25% of the total global talent sits here. “We have become the second largest SaaS economy in the world,” she says


Pakistan is no yardstick or metric of comparison. Pakistan,the IMF beggar is extremely close to a Least Developed country and Bangladesh(another LDC) is a fugazi oasis.

So, comparing economic indices with both might make us look good but the real world is much bigger.Almost 65% of the countries in the world are either rich or upper middle-income group countries and we are nowhere near in their leagues.

In the US, Mexico is stereotypically benchmarked as a 3rd world country but even Mexico is at least 6 times richer than India. This shows how much work we have to do as a country.
Yes, but Mexico's economy runs on being a factory ground for exporting to the USofA.
Especially automobiles. They produce as much as Germany does primarily for export.
 

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