Israel x Iran Conflict (22 Viewers)

[Azaad]

Excellent points.
I am just pondering will the current regime after the utter humiliation at the hands of jooz have enough agency and legitimacy to properly enforce its writ in Iran? I expect it to be a slow death of this regime. Its like beating the top dog infront of its pack. Generally these top dogs don't remain leader of the pack for long. Will not the authority of the current regime erode over time?

There's no organised group in Iran or abroad capable of challenging the regime. In such cases only military defeat or internal struggles can bring down the regime or a combination of the two like in the 1917 Russian Revolution while WW-1 was on.

You could add popular protests & other factors to it but the aforementioned categories are a must without which supplementary events like popular protests would have no meaning.

Since you have some pretty good understanding i expect you to give me an illuminating answer. Did something like that happened with our western pig farmers? I am thinking their current manifestation seems like it to me. Army their have ironclad grip over resources, they use mullah to delulu their awam. I expect the same with current Mullah regime, to regress even more. They will tighten their grip over resources and alienate common folks.

I'm as much of an amateur as any other guy out here.

Paxtan is in a way worse shape than Iran. It has no natural resources unlike Iran to exploit. It's population is booming unlike Iran . It's facing two very aggressive secessionist movements unlike Iran.

Add other issues like a falling economy, other internal security challenges like religious fundamentalism which in case of Iran is restricted to the mullahs their lackeys & beneficiaries of the regime, water crisis etc.

The only saving grace is Fauji Foundation is on the good side of the powers that be like the US, unlike Iran. In fact it may not seem so now, but I see the mullahs outlasting Fauji Foundation.

I may be wrong about this but as of the present, this seems true in my assessment.

 

[Physx32]

Totally agree. This is the biggest hindrance to an Asian unity. This is where the maximum hardwork and power lifting diplomacy needs to be done, blended with copious amounts of melee battles atop Himalayas.
Modi's China policy is spot on in this regard.

I disagree with the insecurities projected by MEA/Modi viz-a-viz de-dollarization rejection, SCO avoidance, BRICS occasional nuisance maker, etc. Other than that RIC is reaching there, at snail pace, but atleast going somewhere.
Putin Kaka can do some heavy lifting for us, were it not his total dependency on Chinese economy, he could have done occasional analization of China and RIC would have seemed the natural choice for successive Indian goverments.
We can sort out our issues with the land grabber, but should never do any deal with The Great Satan or his bulldog.

You seem to be firmly hooked on the "hindi chini bhai bhai" chooran just like Nehru and Modi were.

Just remember that CCP doesn't want to be bhai bhai with you, they aspire to be the next Great Satan and will do absolutely everything to make India a vassal.

The best scenario for us would be for the white and yellow devil to fight each other over Taiwan. Till then keep hedging.

 

[Savageking456]

View: https://x.com/Osint613/status/1937469102458577295?t=gCOm3RMPMDgwa4D63XETOQ&s=19
This stuff should go in history books
Proper movie script war with trump fighting on social media with keyboard he is a keyboard warrior and now is being rage baited by Iran and Israel lmfao

 

[Kattar]

I'm not knowledgeable about this so I'm asking: do they need to enrich it to 100% to make a dirty bomb or this last bits of enrichment only need for BMs and etc?

Dirty Bomb would be highly valuable for a terrorist organization, but have no strategic value for any nation state that is ready to acknowledge its use in enemy territory

About 20 Kgs of 90% enriched Uranium is required to make a single useful nuclear weapon that can be deployed via Fighter jets or typical BM. Additional 20% by weight is required to account for material loss when it is machined to fit inside weapon

Iran currently has enough Uranium for 8-10 bombs enriched to 60%. This already covers 90% of the effort required to reach 90% for weapons grade.

Iran`s current generation centrifuges are about 8x more efficient than their 1st generation ones requiring much less space to process same amount of material. This enables them to further process Uranium in multiple small labs, as small as 12000 sq ft, which are much more difficult to identify.

They can easily build a weapon every 3 months with current stock, if uninterrupted, which increasingly looks like will be the case unless there is regime change

 

[Ajayant Tripathi]

There's no organised group in Iran or abroad capable of challenging the regime. In such cases only military defeat or internal struggles can bring down the regime or a combination of the two like in the 1917 Russian Revolution while WW-1 was on.

You could add popular protests & other factors to it but the aforementioned categories are a must without which supplementary events like popular protests would have no meaning.

I'm as much of an amateur as any other guy out here.

Paxtan is in a way worse shape than Iran. It has no natural resources unlike Iran to exploit. It's population is booming unlike Iran . It's facing two very aggressive secessionist movements unlike Iran.

Add other issues like a falling economy, other internal security challenges like religious fundamentalism which in case of Iran is restricted to the mullahs their lackeys & beneficiaries of the regime, water crisis etc.

The only saving grace is Fauji Foundation is on the good side of the powers that be like the US, unlike Iran. In fact it may not seem so now, but I see the mullahs outlasting Fauji Foundation.

I may be wrong about this but as of the present, this seems true in my assessment.

I was thinking even if the regime continues. It surely will have to make some changes. They will either loosen control or tighten it. It is kind of soft regime change. This regime will not be the same in character and personality as before.

I believe there are only two plausible pathways:
1. Loosen Control: Become more open to western and external influence. Elections and so. It will be like our 1991 moment for them.
2. Tighten Grip: Consolidate control over resources, recede from public spaces and abdicate public responsibility. How will it even work? Fauji foundation actually has priority over mullah. But in Iran mullah have the rule.

To me option 1 seems more plausible as mullah regime is not like fauji foundation. But given mullah are all rhetoric, i found it very frictious to say the least.

 

[shade2]

I was thinking even if the regime continues. It surely will have to make some changes. They will either loosen control or tighten it. It is kind of soft regime change. This regime will not be the same in character and personality as before.

I believe there are only two plausible pathways:
1. Loosen Control: Become more open to western and external influence. Elections and so. It will be like our 1991 moment for them.
2. Tighten Grip: Consolidate control over resources, recede from public spaces and abdicate public responsibility. How will it even work? Fauji foundation actually has priority over mullah. But in Iran mullah have the rule.

To me option 1 seems more plausible as mullah regime is not like fauji foundation. But given mullah are all rhetoric, i found it very frictious to say the least.

Da, Yexellent choice




Mullah can appear in Pizza Hut commercial too

 

[Varzone]

If I were Iran I’d get to cleaning out internal security pronto!

No nuclear bombs is going to save you if you don’t have internal security…then comes air defence.

Had they worked on these rather than force projection from proxies they’d be much safer and better positioned.

 

[Migflug]

View: https://x.com/Harinderindi22/status/1937479559366017262?t=bJXQ0LgchSnlfKTfp1vOOg&s=19

 

[Migflug]

View: https://x.com/IndiaSpeaksPR/status/1937274207051624575?t=6h0XAopPBS-Puxviinko6g&s=19

 

[KarmaWeapon]

they are joking, right? right?

 

[fire starter]

Lol.

View: https://x.com/AdityaRajKaul/status/1937485499591196817?t=A9SLIx03-ZYgGVyK-hLBwg&s=19

 

[Tsunami]

View: https://x.com/AadiAchint/status/1937479496632009041

Full statement....

 

[MasterChief]

Based Nig*er


View: https://x.com/clashreport/status/1937467917798638051?t=Aoau8zvOjmJ95u8IELWxmg&s=19

 

[spikey360]

View: https://x.com/IndiaSpeaksPR/status/1937274207051624575?t=6h0XAopPBS-Puxviinko6g&s=19

I am wondering what kind of people want to be friends with Trump.

 

[spikey360]

Based Nig*er


View: https://x.com/clashreport/status/1937467917798638051?t=Aoau8zvOjmJ95u8IELWxmg&s=19

He thinks he's the reincarnation of Winston from across the pond.

 

[shade2]

Based Nig*er


View: https://x.com/clashreport/status/1937467917798638051?t=Aoau8zvOjmJ95u8IELWxmg&s=19

I am wondering what kind of people want to be friends with Trump.

Drama just like his "2 weeks for negotiation" scam

He's the jews bitch just like he is the deep state's which may or may not be the same party.

Mullahs should be very alert, a lot can happen, regime change mobs, IRGC coups, accidental death and some jew-loving colleague comes to power, etc

 

[Suryavanshi]

I hope Iran can survive it till 2030-35. India needs to gain critical mass in economy and capabilities before Murica can divert regime change resources towards us.
Currently its looking like two axis or power. US, NATO and vessels states vs China, Russia, Iran, NK and other anti West countries. We belong to neither camp and hence a well deserved candidate for US sponsored subversion.

 

[Brood Father]

I hope Iran can survive it till 2030-35. India needs to gain critical mass in economy and capabilities before Murica can divert regime change resources towards us.
Currently its looking like two axis or power. US, NATO and vessels states vs China, Russia, Iran, NK and other anti West countries. We belong to neither camp and hence a well deserved candidate for US sponsored subversion.

India don't have regime ..It has government and have regular elections
Please don't call India as regime ..

 

[shade2]

I hope Iran can survive it till 2030-35. India needs to gain critical mass in economy and capabilities before Murica can divert regime change resources towards us.
Currently its looking like two axis or power. US, NATO and vessels states vs China, Russia, Iran, NK and other anti West countries. We belong to neither camp and hence a well deserved candidate for US sponsored subversion.

It's worse, I think Chong & US have divided up countries to join each other's bloc.

The US have told them that they will force Russia into their orbit.
And China has to in turn force India into US's orbit.

Russia has natural resources that China lacks
India has disposable manpower that America cannot afford to spend themselves

 

[jaijaganath]

Guys please tell me Trump is President of United States
Wtf is he talking