Myanmar watch

[Azaad]

View: https://youtu.be/azAjFI0Seh8?si=CJAkIB0KricMTkF8

So , 80% of the Rakhine State is now under the control of the Arakan Army according to Praveen Swami & what's more the CCP has decided "to throw in its lot " with the Tatmadaw.

View: https://youtu.be/yVcURKdtxNE?si=izHrFpqNsI51N3pi

 

[Azaad]

View: https://youtu.be/iZGQfvtlD3k?si=ukytQuX1zrnwGa3j

Interesting discussion by a distinguished & interesting panel on the mess that is Myanmar & BD & the impact that the Arakan Army taking over the Rakhine state has on the entire region. Definitely worth a watch IMO.

 

[Azaad]

View: https://youtu.be/6ClgOKX-veo?si=V1TsvTp8mut-BT_9

Interesting documentary or rather a monologue. No clue as to the veracity of its claims but if cross checked against OSINT at least a few of the claims & analyses come out as genuine.

 

[Screambowl]

There were posts on social media by miscreants acting as Buddhist and writing derogatory things about Hinduism and vice versa to create a feud between hindus and buddhist. There were some users on tiktok spreading crap unfortunately was outside forgot to take the screenshot.

 

[Azaad]

View: https://twitter.com/arabnews/status/1871702397694738574?s=19

Just to clarify , Myanmar Junta won't collapse. It's just that the state's writ will cease to extend to significant parts of the country like it's the case with Paxtan.

 

[GodEmperorDoom]

View: https://twitter.com/arabnews/status/1871702397694738574?s=19

Just to clarify , Myanmar Junta won't collapse. It's just that the state's writ will cease to extend to significant parts of the country like it's the case with Paxtan.

So what areas of Pakistan does the Lumber1 can't control? Will there be any equilibrium point where there would be stalemate for a brief period in near future where all parties in Myanmar settle down or would it be permanent perpetual PUBG like Middle-East?

 

[silentassassin265]

View: https://twitter.com/arabnews/status/1871702397694738574?s=19

Just to clarify , Myanmar Junta won't collapse. It's just that the state's writ will cease to extend to significant parts of the country like it's the case with Paxtan.

Junta won't collapse because all other ethnic groups are practically running their own countries. They are still dependent on junta as apart from rakhine state others don't have access to sea

 

[Azaad]

So what areas of Pakistan does the Lumber1 can't control? Will there be any equilibrium point where there would be stalemate for a brief period in near future where all parties in Myanmar settle down or would it be permanent perpetual PUBG like Middle-East?

Do you think PA controls all of Balochistan or even KPK as of now ? If yes , how do you explain all the attacks happening there almost on a daily basis now ?

As far as Myanmar goes , who knows ? For starters they need to get the support of the Bamar majority who the Tatmadaw there has alienated by dismissing the previously elected government of Aung San Syu Kyi .

Once that is achieved which is actually low hanging fruit , they can move on to tackling the rest of the insurgent groups one way or another.

 

[Azaad]

Junta won't collapse because all other ethnic groups are practically running their own countries.

They are still dependent on junta as apart from rakhine state others don't have access to sea

If they're so dependant on the junta how do you explain the fact that they're still running an insurgency apart from their own states unless it's your contention the junta is providing them arms to fight the junta ?

Btw Myanmar is one of the main states comprising the golden triangle . You can't traffic narcotics to the outside world without access to the sea. It's also their main source of income.

 

[Azaad]

View: https://twitter.com/AdithyaKM_/status/1911286295449555389?s=19


View: https://twitter.com/AdithyaKM_/status/1911293767522423021?s=19

 

[phakepraful]

Bangladesh Army to lead US-backed clandestine operations in Myanmar’s Rakhine State

At least three divisions of the Bangladesh Army will be involved in providing supplies, logistics and other tactical support to

nenews.in

Full Article

Bangladesh Army to lead US-backed clandestine operations in Myanmar’s Rakhine State

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At least three divisions of the Bangladesh Army will be involved in providing supplies, logistics and other tactical support to a coalition of forces, including the Arakan Army and the Chin National Front (CNF), as part of a broader US plan to take on the Myanmar military junta in Rakhine State and beyond.

The 10th, 17th and 24th Divisions will likely be deployed as part of the plan, but these units will not play any military role and will only provide logistics and supplies support to a coalition of insurgent forces in the Rakhine State, top Bangladeshi security sources confirmed to Northeast News.

From a military-logistics perspective, the Bangladesh Army has already begun work on building a massive facility near Teknaf, from where there are plans to push supplies and other materials that the coalition forces will use as part of a US-backed proxy war against the Myanmar military junta which now remains in effective control of only three townships in the Rakhine State.

This apart, expansion of the Cox’s Bazar airport is in its final stages and, as Bangladeshi security sources revealed, would be developed into a drone base for operating Turkish unmanned aerial vehicles that will play a key role in the impending conflict in the Rakhine State.

Meanwhile, even as key State Department officials began arriving in Dhaka beginning today, the Bangladesh Army has taken to extreme secrecy to facilitate the entry of representatives of the Arakan Army and the Chin National Front (CNF) to chalk out a cohesive strategy in the Rakhine State and beyond.

The Arakan Army and CNF representatives have been housed in a safe house. They are expected to have clandestine meetings with the three US officials, including Susan Stevenson, who is the American charge d’affaires in Naypidaw, and two Assistant Secretaries of State for South and Central Asia and East and East Asia.

The broad strategy is to develop a military plan in which the Bangladesh Army will play an important role.

The supply base near Teknaf will provide all non-lethal supplies such as rations. On the other hand, efforts are being made, as part of a strategy developed by Bangladesh’s newly appointed National Security Adviser Khalilur Rahman to identify and use an “aid corridor”.

In the event of some military success in the Rakhine State, the aid corridor will likely be used a channel for the return of about 80,000 Rohingya to their homes in Buthidaung and Maungdaw.

As a first step, the Mohammd Yunus-regime has begun working with a list of about 80,000 Rohingya who will be repatriated to the Rakhine State in the event of even partial military success.

The Bangladesh Army is also making efforts to rope in the Arakan Rohingya Salvation Army (ARSA) which, till recently was ideologically and militarily opposed to the Arakan Army.

However, the ‘arrest’ last month of ARSA chief Ataullah in Narayanganj near Dhaka, along with nine other associates, indicates the Bangladesh Army is making efforts to convince the ARSA to join the broad coalition against the Myanmar military junta.

The negotiations to put together a broad coalition of forces ranged against the Myanmar military junta have been going on for quite some time now, with key senior Bangladesh Army officers, including those from the military operations directorate, being central to this effort. In this context, the US Army Pacific’s (USARAPC) Deputy Commanding General, Lieutenant General Joel ‘JB’ Vowell’s meeting with Gen Zaman in Dhaka last month is being considered to be significant.