Interesting take. Perhaps it was intentional as to flag what is our red line.
However fact to the matter is now Trump is now on Pakistani gang. Also to note, this is not just because of Asim Munir ass kissing, but also that USA is now losing patience with our fence-sitting attitude.
By 2014, America was big on taking India on their sides. Starting from defence sales like C-130J, C-17s, Chinooks and Apaches. Pitching for most advanced version of F-16s in MMRCA, and then unconditionally supporting us on standoffs versus China, both in 2017 and 2020.
Its my opinion that we should have gone to USA gang.
But now that carrot isn't working on us, we will gonna get the stick soon.
I doubt it was intentional. I think the simple explanation is the correct one, Trump's incompetence. I mean, think about it, how many established norms and precedents has he violated? From top of my head, I can list :
- Publicly threatening to annex an ally's territory (Greenland).
- Publicly abusing a head of state (Trudeau).
- Called a close ally 51st state of US.
- Had public spat during a press conference with a sitting head of state (Zelensky).
- His foundation / company launched a phone while his administration threatened to impose tariffs on phone imports => clear conflict of interest.
- Unparliamentary and informal languages during press conferences and in tweets.
- A sitting US president behaved as live news reporter, tweeting about everything during Israel-Iran conflict.
The list goes on and on. The dude has so many conflict of interests that it would cause a public scandal in any semi-decent democracy. This dude does not understand international relations. He completely sees it as transactional. I mean the deep state must have spent billions and years to build influence and covert operations through USAID. Why would any competent president of the most powerful country in the world would want to close it and see it as waste of money? It would be a dream for any competent powerful nation to have an organisation and money like USAID to meddle in affairs of other states. Trump sees it as waste of money because he doesn't see any immediate material gain from it.
Also I think US would still support us against China, as it did in 2017 and 2020. The US has never supported us and mostly has been neutral in our conflict with Pakis. At max they have condemned terrorism, but have they ever directly called out the Paki state?
Though we have some role, the blame of not going in the US camp also does not completely lie on us. They have a good role in keeping us away from them. They lecture us on our internal matters (farm protest, USCIRF, CAA, Nijjer, etc etc), never condemn Pakis and always keep neutral stance, never called Pakis out on terrorism. OTOH, Russians may not be as powerful as US, they still don't lecture us and still cooperate with us on critical defence technologies, even though they extract from us. Eg: INS Chakra, BrahMos, nuclear cooperation etc etc. When has the US shared any technology in a similar way and to that level with us? I don't remember anything. I only remeber weapon sales, not cooperation. US doesn't trust us and has never shown that they can be relied upon. They want us to be a vassal against China and buyer of their weapons, not a partner. A nation with aspirations of becoming a major power cannot be a vassal and the US doesn't want a partner.
Also I think we are overestimating recent Trump & Munir meeting and Paki buttering of US. I think we should strictly see this through Iran lense. Other than being a mecenary, there is nothing Paki land can offer. I don't think US is on Paki gang. It is just Trump's ego aligned with Paki narrative and then Iran came at the same time. There is nothing more than that, other than Trump's stupidity and short sightedness.