Babus came to an understanding with jihadi radical leaders, but failed to understand own public emotions
Very true, this is what I said yesterday itself, right after the ceasefire was announced. Cross posting here:
Disclaimer: Long post, so apologies in advance. Also, never before have I wished for IT Celliya 786D masterstrokewadis to be right more than now; quite happy to take my words back and accept my mistake if this ceasefire chutiyap truly turns out to be some 56D masterstroke. Until then, you can "MUHHH Blackpill and 20-20 match" me all you want, but what I'm about to say stands.
India is probably the only major military power in the world that doesn't realize it's a major military power. The Gandhian mindset coupled with the Nehruvian gora validation seeking still lives long among our political establishment. I remember, in the old DFI, I was relentlessly crucified one time when I alluded that if we are bending to Amrika's diktat on issues like Nupur Sharma or some other such issues, it only logically follows that we shall follow Amrika's diktat on issues of retaking POK and other problems as well. I was told that some goals are supreme and sacrosanct and those shall never be compromised on Amrika's say-so, unlike the other "smaller" issues.
Well, after today, I daresay I was right.
This is pussyfooting on the levels of Menachem Begin's betrayal with the Camp David Accords. Actually, more like the cuck Ehud Olmert, when he was the PM of Israel, stating that "We are tired of winning". Yes, that is an actual quote. "We are tired of winning". That's the precise attitude which I sense from this Gormint too. They act as if they believe that Indians were tired of the conflict and weren't prepared to pay the price of prolonged warfare. Yet, whatever I have seen the last few days and weeks disputes this notion.
This also betrays a terrible gap between the leadership and the people in India. India's political and (possibly?) military leaders and definitely the sepoy babus mistakenly believe that Indian society is tired of the protracted conflict and is unwilling to pay the price of continuous war. It reflects a sense of weariness at the leadership level. Decision makers in this "ceasefire" were probably motivated by such sentiments and by a similar misperception of Indian society. Thus, casualty aversion has become a main feature of India's political-military modus operandi.
While the need to avoid reckless loss of human life is self-evident, there was enthusiastic backing for offensive operations all over the country, even if military casualties were inevitable. A huge majority of Indians lent full support to the war. We wanted an unequivocal victory and were ready to pay a high price for achieving it.
What are the things we have achieved instead?
1) We have provided Porkis with an insight as to their weaknesses and chinks in the armor, allowing them to plug those potholes and be better prepared for skirmishes next time, which consequently won't be a cakewalk for us like this time.
2) We have allowed Amrika and Orange Man to put his personal stamp on this ceasefire, which means if we try to contravene it, it will result in embarrassment for the Orange Man, who will then punish us definitely because now his name is on the paper.
3) We have brought the average Indian's sentiment (who normally is a materialistic sheep) to a fever pitch only to douse them with cold water. This, in turn, ensures that the next time, momentum like this in the civilian front will be hard to generate. By default, Indians are materialistic and passive, and it will be hard to generate this war fervour in them again, and not them simply dismissing it as "Arre last time bhi yeh sab hua tha phir ceasefire ho gaya, abhi bhi wahi hoga, no danger of war"
4) This "any act of terror = act of war" I'm not able to buy at all. I refuse to believe that a terror attack with 5 casualties in the future will result in a declaration of war when a terror attack of 30+ casualties ended with a ceasefire decided within 1 hour of Porkies begging us. This was even proved yesterday when the Babus provided cover and shield for Porkies by denying their hand in attacks at Jammu and Vaishno Devi, clearly visible to anyone.
5) After having, at face value, accepted Porkies' word of a ceasefire, even if we do decide to claim later that Porkies have violated ceasefire and therefore we shall resume offensive operations, we open the door to the West's calls for investigations and false flags, because it will simply be seen as trigger-happy itching from us at abandoning a ceasefire we so recently agreed to.
6) We have shown the Baloch and Pashtuns AGAIN, maybe for the hundredth time that we are not reliable allies. Any Pakistani separatist movement which expects our backing and help can now safely conclude that they shall be abandoned by us at the drop of a hat.
7) Also, this is a massive, MASSIVE blow to the ambitions for retaking PoK. I'm not even sure if retaking PoK is a goal or aim for this current disposition at all now. If the present scenario with all its terror attacks and strikes on cities and strategic advantages wasn't enough to demand some major concessions, what exactly is the condition or criteria for taking back PoK. How many more cuts does Porkistan have to open for us to want PoK back. Is PoK even a target anymore or is it full on Ekanami and Wusswaguru shit from now? If it's not, then that's just another major example of us abandoning even a semblance of rightful historical and national claims.
Unfortunately, India's political and Babu leadership has no clear concept of what victory over Pakistan entails. It wasted an important opportunity to settle scores and enhance our deterrence.
And the problem is India cannot afford such failures. Hopefully, Indian leadership will be better prepared with appropriate military and diplomatic strategies for attaining a clearly-defined victory in the next round, whenever that happens. If that happens.
Tl;dr: Nothing ever happens. It's so over. "We are tired of winning"
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