Pahalgam Islamic Terror Attack

Pakistan does not have capacity to hit our ports outside of direct missile strikes with our navy deployed. i think you are correct in your assessment of how any kinetic action will go, but this is more to do with India playing risk averse than going for the most intense pain at low risk for us.

its extremely unlikely Pakistan has capacity to hit mumbai or jamnagar or surat port - they are not flying air sortie there through naval and air and ground battery cordon. and their navy does not have cruise missile capability of that long range to hit those ports from inside safety of their harbour - if they come close enough to fire their missiles, we sink their ships easily with our subs and ships.
PN is a no contest force vs IN

PN has a total of 5 subs, 9 guided missile & AD frigates ( of which only 5 are dedicated guided missile frigates)
Thats their sum total assets to hurt us with navally.
They can use long range shahed like drones.. they are easy to intercept, but a couple might get through..
 
Pakistan does not have capacity to hit our ports outside of direct missile strikes with our navy deployed. i think you are correct in your assessment of how any kinetic action will go, but this is more to do with India playing risk averse than going for the most intense pain at low risk for us.

its extremely unlikely Pakistan has capacity to hit mumbai or jamnagar or surat port - they are not flying air sortie there through naval and air and ground battery cordon. and their navy does not have cruise missile capability of that long range to hit those ports from inside safety of their harbour - if they come close enough to fire their missiles, we sink their ships easily with our subs and ships.
PN is a no contest force vs IN

PN has a total of 5 subs, 9 guided missile & AD frigates ( of which only 5 are dedicated guided missile frigates)
Thats their sum total assets to hurt us with navally.
They simply lack any firepower to make a signifcant dent on indian ports with their frigates as most of them will be busy protecting karachi only problem is their 3 agosta 90 subs which should indian navy take as a challenge and face bravely its a time to show the power of indian upcoming blue navy.
Further naval blockade will limit the war at oceans only and pakistan will still suffer from blockade.
 
a dam costs a LOT less than a dam + canal system cutting through a range. You forget, canal-cutting is ALL about gradient - its far easier to cut a 50 km long channel with 50m elevation gain than cut 1 km through a 5km tall mountain range. and boring a tunnel through the same mountain is even more expensive than blasting & channel cutting.

and the baniya will basically slap you silly - you spent 3x the money to fuckup paki project downstream that they will just relocate elsewhere coz net flow of Jhelum remains same.

if you are going to divert kishen-ganga & jhelum, you have to cut a channel at negative gradient against the gradient flow to south of kashmir valley ( when gradient flow of kashmir valley is SE->NW roughly) and cut near banihaal pass and dump it on chenab tributaries and then divert chenab.

But this is putting cart before horse, because it means you must divert chenab first.

if we are serious about any IWT diversion project, we need to start with the low-hanging fruits first.
Which means make sure not a DROP of ravi and Satluj cross the border, not even in peak monsoon season, while making barrages for Chenab. jhelum and indus are the last step projects and i dont think we need to go that far.
Remember, to kill pakistan we dont need to make their water go to 0, even if we reduce it by 25%, they are completely screwed.

einstein ji dam and tunnel all exists , nothing needs to be build

You forget, canal-cutting is ALL about gradient - its far easier to cut a 50 km long channel with 50m elevation gain than cut 1 km through a 5km tall mountain range. and boring a tunnel through the same mountain is even more expensive than blasting & channel cutting.

kishanganga is being diverted via a 23 km tunnel into wular lake

23km tunnel was build in 2018 , goes under the himalayan mountain range .

Google Earth Pro_20250424_143419.png_stripped.webp
 
Pakis cannot match India with tit of tat retaliations, they will always try stunts to save face - that much is certain. However, even those face-saving attempts can cause damages - I just hope we are ready to pay that price.

They can "match" mainly because of their stunts
Our cowards don't have the ⚽⚽ to exceed whatever they dish out, certain wise people may call this "avoiding wrestling with a pig in mud"
 
I have a wild theory

This attack at this time came because the Naxals were under tremendous pressure since the last few months.

Whatever happens on the border. The internal commie rats need to be executed first and foremost. The surrounded Naxals need to die.
isn't it happening? just tune to news sites in chhatisgadh, 20K some troops surrounded 1k naxals for some showdown

 

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