- Joined
- Jun 30, 2024
- Messages
- 261
- Likes
- 2,191

I'm familiar with the linguistic profile of that region very well. I actually spoke Farsi fairly well couple years back (self learned) and still understand it though don't really practice it as much anymore.Azeri iranis mostly speak irani. Remember azeri is an ethnicity seperate from language originally because Azerbaijan is actually originally athurpatakan in farsi and initially the turki who settled Azerbaijan and call their turki as azeri were initially different from azeri iranis.
So the whole azeri link is overplayed in irani seperatism, the balochi represent a bigger threat to irani integrity but the biggest risk are the irani kurds- though small in number, they are actually the same language as iraqi kurds and share more kindred stuff and that is where murrica has the most in, now that pakis are gimped by us.
Its like the situation in India in the sense that a Bihari may know Bhojpuri, Maithili, Magahi or some other regional language along with Hindi or a Marathi knows Marathi along with Hindi.
Similarly, Azeris speak a heavily persianized version of Azerbaijani in the rural regions and are fluent but don't prefer Farsi with fellow Azeris, and much like India, usually speak Farsi in the administrative hubs or city zones like Tehran or Ishfahan or one of the bigger cities.
The thing is, even if the Azeri separatism threat is overblown, US, Israel and Azerbaijan collaborating together can make it inflamed over a couple of years.
Kurds are fairly benign though. They just want equal representation of their language in culture in Iran and some autonomy (though, again, intent can change with capability).
Iran isn't in a position to rebuild it's airforce anymore. They should start preparing to lean heavily on their infantry and AD.
These are the only short term fixes which will help it regain it's sovereignty.
If I were an Iranian mullah, I would focus exclusively on numerous cheap, effective AA systems and infantry. Nothing else feasible will keep Israel and US at bay.
Israel can drop a country worth of explosive mass and that wouldn't change shit but if US puts boots on the ground and they Thunder Run to Tehran or even if Israel engineers a successful insurgency, Khamenei will go the Saddam/Gaddafi route.