- Joined
- Jul 16, 2024
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Let me set some expectations right in this thread.
You are not going to beat Pakistan with economic warfare.
I agree. Quite a few members in here are saying that Pakistan should be brought down via non-Military options like IWT, economic and trade blockade etc. which will bring Pakistan to its knees "without firing a single bullet." They also say have the TTP/Baloch attack PA, which will further bleed and emasculate the Pakistani Army. But these are just half-measures and as you have rightly said, economic measures will not result in scenario that we have envisaged as punitive for Pakistan. Pakistan will get help from other nations to stave off the crisis.
BLA/TTP may be carrying out attacks with impunity on the Pakistani army but let us be straight-forward here, they will not just be the ones who will bleed their own blood for India. They will sooner realize that India is using them to settle their own personal score with Pakistan without endangering their own lives.
I am of the opinion that while IWT and economic and trade embargo serve their purpose in "economic/resource" warfare. If we could defeat Pakistan through mere economic warfare, why not disband the Indian army and just keep a police force like CRPF/BSF/ITBP? The Indian army has been fighting counter-insurgency in J&K and north-east for several decades now with no end in sight. The Indian army needs a war to determine where does it stand in today's battlefield and where does it comes short with their adversary. Keep in mind it is not just military hardware that I am talking about but also the mindset and battle preparedness of the military leadership. The IA soldiers, on the ground, are not lacking in skills, courage and bravery but what can be said about the higher ups?
USSR's war with Finland in 1939, gave them valuable lessons on the conduction of warfare in winters, in sub-zero temperatures and snow, which helped them during the WWII and they also went in for an organization-wide re-structuring of the Red Army, which was still going on until the eve of Operation Barbarossa.
India hasn't had a conventional battle or war with adversaries since Kargil (1999) and that war embarrassingly exposed the incompetence and ineptness that had creeped into the organization.
The other thing is, as some people have suggested here, that Modi will keep the hostilities beneath the threshold of escalation and call it a day because it would be enough theatrics for his voter base. I think, any limited strike against Pakistan, now that they have mobilized their troops along the border will definitely lead to escalation. Pakistani Army will not take any such conflagrations it lying down and regardless whatever they think will be the outcome, they will attack. So Modi has no choice but to go ahead with the aim of limited war that has the potential to flare up into a full blown war.
So yes, while economic and other non-Military warfare is important but they can help only to an extent with which the conventional military war becomes more easier to conduct.