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View: https://twitter.com/TheEconomist/status/1870076696675631240?s=19
The Economist has spoken !
Olhomdullilah !
All it takes is 1 generation of a radical mulla becoming their leader for Azeris to re-Islamize.Yeah well news for you guys . Azeris aren't Islamic . Far from it . They're mostly secular. They'd be Islamists if they were teaming up with Iran . They aren't.
That's one of the primary reasons the Azeri authorities don't get along with the Iranian mullahs in spite of both being of the Shi'a sect .
Fun fact - Ayatollah Khamenei is an Azeri of Iranian origin. There are more Azeris in Iran than there are in Azerbaijan . It's like there are more Pashtuns in Paxtan than there are in Afghanistan.
The Azeri leadership are mostly like the Stans of Central Asia . Secular thanks to decades of not centuries of Russian rule who're deeply suspicious of organised religion which in this case happens to be Islam especially of the mullahs as they rightly perceive them to be a threat to their political power.
This is the reason Azeri politics have prioritised their ethnic origins over religion thus identifying more with Turkey given both are ethnic Turkics over their sect Shi'a because that would give Iran an excuse to lord it over Azerbaijan , which political parties in Azerbaijan are wary about especially the ruling party .
Hence the identification with Turkey , close alliance with the west , partnership with it & Israel to undermine the Iranian rulers for that's exactly what the Iranian mullahs are doing / have been doing to Azerbaijan.
This war with Armenia is two fold - to regain lost territory & with it prestige , Azerbaijan had lost when the USSR broke up when Armenia seized the Nagorno-Karabakh enclave within Azerbaijan , where the Armenians were in a majority in spite of being a lesser power purely because Azerbaijan was in a bigger mess than most constituents of the former USSR after its dissolution & secondly due to geo politics - both , related to oil or rather its transit as well as Armenia ending up in an alliance with the Russians which sort of precludes the west from enacting a colour revolution like it did in Georgia before & now.
Armenia ending up in an alliance with the Russians which sort of precludes the west from enacting a colour revolution like it did in Georgia before & now.
Yeah well news for you guys . Azeris aren't Islamic . Far from it . They're mostly secular. They'd be Islamists if they were teaming up with Iran . They aren't.
That's one of the primary reasons the Azeri authorities don't get along with the Iranian mullahs in spite of both being of the Shi'a sect .
Fun fact - Ayatollah Khamenei is an Iranian of
Azeri origin. There are more Azeris in Iran than there are in Azerbaijan . It's like there are more Pashtuns in Paxtan than there are in Afghanistan.
The Azeri leadership are mostly like the Stans of Central Asia . Secular thanks to decades if not centuries of Russian rule who're deeply suspicious of organised religion which in this case happens to be Islam especially of the mullahs as they rightly perceive them to be a threat to their political power. Most of the ordinary people there are not overtly religious too just nominal Muslims not the namaazis you see here or else where .
This is the reason Azeri politics have prioritised their ethnic origins over religion thus identifying more with Turkey given both are ethnic Turkics over their sect Shi'a because that would give Iran an excuse to lord it over Azerbaijan , which political parties in Azerbaijan are wary about especially the ruling party .
Hence the identification with Turkey , close alliance with the west , partnership with it & Israel to undermine the Iranian rulers for that's exactly what the Iranian mullahs are doing / have been doing to Azerbaijan.
This war with Armenia is two fold - to regain lost territory & with it prestige , Azerbaijan had lost when the USSR broke up when Armenia seized the Nagorno-Karabakh enclave within Azerbaijan , where the Armenians were in a majority in spite of being a lesser power purely because Azerbaijan was in a bigger mess than most constituents of the former USSR after its dissolution & secondly due to geo politics - both , related to oil or rather its transit as well as Armenia ending up in an alliance with the Russians which sort of precludes the west from enacting a colour revolution like it did in Georgia before & now.
How was it a colour revolution if all the external powers including the EU , the US & Russia welcomed it with no external party finding anything against it ? It was strictly an internal affair .A color revolution already has happened there and Pashniyan was installed, Pashniyan had to escape after the Karabakh debacle but (((magically))) he was back on the chair.
This is why the Russis have dumped Armenia to the Azharbaijani wolves, this is exactly also why they grabbed karabakh because of green signal from Roosi.
Any gora tolerance for Azharbhaijan is only because they need Azeri oil, else Aliyev would also be regime changed by now
Wahabi ? Are you aware > 90% Azeris are Shi'as ?Wrong.
Just watch video from war between Armenia and Azerbaijan then you will come to know how much mulla they are.
The difference is, they do not want to follow Wahabi Islam and want to forward their own indentity like Turkey.
Wahabi ? Are you aware > 90% Azeris are Shi'as ?
Nope. Yunus and his jihadi accomplishes are trying to solidify their own control. The more they incite common B'Deshis against India, the more they think they will have chance keep AL and BNP out of power. They effectively want to create a war-like crisis against India to keep control on their new found power. If they manage to continue even for 2 years and fatten the jihadis, they would vitiate the relationship between India and BD on such an extent that would be almost impossible to repair. Yunus and his jihadi cabal don't care about BD, but their own agenda which is jihadification of BD and creating another hostile neighbour for India which would split a big portion of attention of Indian security apparatus incl. defence forces from North and West to East.Jigar nahi hai Sir... In the instant case, BDesh acting like a superpower..
Nope. Yunus and his jihadi accomplishes are trying to solidify their own control. The more they incite common B'Deshis against India, the more they think they will have chance keep AL and BNP out of power. They effectively want to create a war-like crisis against India to keep control on their new found power. If they manage to continue even for 2 years and fatten the jihadis, they would vitiate the relationship between India and BD on such an extent that would be almost impossible to repair. Yunus and his jihadi cabal don't care about BD, but their own agenda which is jihadification of BD and creating another hostile neighbour for India which would split a big portion of attention of Indian security apparatus incl. defence forces from North and West to East.
BD isn't acting like a superpower, but a delinquent state like NK.
How was it a colour revolution if all the external powers including the EU , the US & Russia welcomed it with no external party finding anything against it ? It was strictly an internal affair .
Back in 2020 , when the war over Nagorno-Karabakh occured Russia stayed away because Pashinyan tried to get close to Turkey & the west while Azerbaijan launched the war.
After a comprehensive defeat , he mended fences with Russia having no choice in the matter , being ditched by both the West & Turkey , where Russia brokered a cease fire. Recent skirmishes on the border occurred only after Russia withdrew troops stationed there as peace keepers following their war in Ukraine.
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Looks like India will be adopting a "long term engagement" policy. Maybe trying not to give too much fodder to the Islamists there to further their propaganda. Pretty sure that Islamists will be thankless & will continue their anti-India stance.
Such steps by India can be seen as a way to enhance the position of "neutral" or "slightly pro-India" forces there.
One thing sure, we didn't act like superpower. Even bangladesh like countries stood up against us.
The fear of superpower we not able impose.
Jigar nahi hai Sir... In the instant case, BDesh acting like a superpower..
Upcoming era of mass militarization in the Indian subcontinent
Mark this post and come back to it as the years go on. I'm 100% certain what I write below will become more and more apparent as time goes on, though many may dismiss it as hyperbolic or paranoid for now.
Many of you are not getting the seriousness of the situation and the kind of masterstroke the US has played in their goal of destroying India. Many arent understanding how Ill prepared we are for the coming scenario out of complacency. The Kanglus are far more of a threat than pakis. Everyone, especially the pakis, have realized that the paki military capacity to hurt India is nil, and only provokes a much more devastating Indian response. They have also realized that their terror infiltration is no longer even a pin prick on India as a whole. This is where Kanglus come in. They've infiltrated 20-40 million all over India, especially in WB, Assam, Jharkhand and all Tier 1 cities. I clearly forsee kanglus going for mass recruitment of terrorists with support of pakis and the US + activation of their filth in India. The bengal border is completely different from our western border.
In the western border we can actually control and stop the movement of infiltrators. We have built up minimal capacity for that with the kanglu border, and the marshy jungle environment makes it even worse, along with a non cooperative WB govt that will never change apart from Presidents rule.
All our previous assumptions of leverage we have over them in my opinion are hollow. They are willing to be like Gaza or Lebanon. But instead of 2-3 million its now 180 million. Us stopping all food and medicine exports, or blockading them, or even taking territory, will not stop them from turning into a Gaza for us. Even pakis don't want to see lahore and islamabad flattened. But kanglus have no such love for their own country.
Constant terror infiltration, mass recruitment into terrorist organizations and a population that has no interest in economic growth or stability is what will define bangladesh for the rest of its existence. Inevitably over this decade we will see conventional military conflict with them which we'll probably dominate, but even on that front kanglus will get tech and training from the west like Ukraine did on how to fight defensively against any Indian military response. Remember, in the early 2000s it would have sounded equally ridiculous to Russians that they'll one day be in a protracted war against then friendly Ukrainians with each side losing 300k + troops and counting.
Any realistic solution of stopping terrorism 1000x (not an exaggeration) more numerous than what we get from pakis will require
1) Mass mobilization from our end and deploy 500k - 1m guys solely for the kanglu border (minimum). This will required a brand new organization, or to remodel the BSF into another beast entirely. At least a 20-30 billion dollar budget to accompany it.
2) mass deployment of new tech all along the border, such as gun turrets, motion sensors, sonar for detecting river crossings, all feeding into centralized data bases for efficient force deployment. I.e something more than what we have even on the LOC. Indian MIC will have to be put on overdrive. Good thing is we've already proven that we can produce these.
3) Mass production and deployment of small drones + arty + armored vehicles for supporting such a force. This will require serious industrial + spending upgrades.
4) Real mass deportations all across the country, and special treatment for West bengal under Presidents rule. Kanglus will not take them back, so you can put 2 and 2 together on what that entails.
GOI and Indian public is slow (retarded). These measures will come 1-2 decades late. But even most of us defence enthusiasts are not understanding just how much of a paradigm shift the kanglu situation is.
I'm predicting 1 step further, that the only sustainable solution to what we're going to face is mass conscription of Hindus into a militarized security force, which will also result in similar conscription in pakistan and bangladesh. Hence my prediction that the Indian subcontinent will enter an era of mass militarization. This is actually a normal state of affairs in large parts of the world that have conscription, but the scale will be mind boggling with the subcontinent.
No 5D chess games like using Myanmar rebels, or economic leverage from our side will avoid this. We will see Lebanon level dysfunction in numerous parts of India before the 1.1 billion sleeping Hindus wake up and realize that there's no choice but to do all of the above.
Again, Mark this post. I'm standing by it 100% despite it sounding like some amateur alarmism at the moment that's not taking into account "nuanced realities". I know I'm going to be proven right.
Then why should have such a manpower in the services.. only for show-casing... for distribution of revenue only...We aren't a superpower, there is only one superpower in the world, the US and it has it's own continent and the continent to the south of it under it's thrall, Cuba is fully defanged so excluding them
We are a regional power up against a US backed and Kanglu fauj supported regime change govt in Bangladesh, with previous Chinese interference in the neighborhood and now US interference too
They are backed by a superpower, our Govt's lack of jigar is because of our country's lack of aukat to stand up against a real superpower.
Or rather made up fears about 10 foot American sanctions of overt and shadow sanctions sorts.