Will depend on the Govt.. how the Govt takes the scenario...F15 is too costly both price and maintenance wise and will kill su30 upgrade program,
f21 will kill LCA mark 2
We will lose if we purchase any of this
Will depend on the Govt.. how the Govt takes the scenario...F15 is too costly both price and maintenance wise and will kill su30 upgrade program,
f21 will kill LCA mark 2
We will lose if we purchase any of this
If In 2028 IAF hadIn theory we can acquire up to 12 squadrons from France + UAE + Greece but that requires France to get rid of almost all their mirages. Which barring economic collapse, they won't.
Realistically, we can acquire 1 to 1.5 squadrons from France, their oldest batch of mirage-2000 that they decided not to upgrade to the F5 standard ( latest standard), along with approx 2 squadrons from UAE and 1 from Greece. Though UAE number is at best going to be 1 squadron because i read somewhere recently that they are selling 1 squadron to Morocco.
Nobody is gonna 'throw in' Mirage-2000 as a sweetener deal, especially because Mirage-2000 is STILL one of the best bang for your buck plane in the world today - it has exceptionally low maintaiance costs ( fyi i know from IAF insiders that 1 Mig-29 = 3 Mirage-2000 in upkeep cost), is a heavy payload delivery single seater and has always lived up in tough, hardy conditions better than an F16 has.
Its basically your reliable trusty ambassador taxi that no one wants to get rid of because it is so damn reliable and cheap to maintain.
So the only acquisition pathway, is through nations that are slated to phase them out due to more modern acquisitions. Such as Greece and UAE getting more F-35s/Rafales and de-comissioning their Mirage-2000s.
France doesn't wanna give us a lot of their mirage-2000 basically because Dassault is worried that if we take too much Mirage-2000, then our Rafale orders will only be the M version for the navy and that means only 40-50 birds at max.
But i suspect that if India does order another 70+ Rafales (which is likely - the rumour is that India is gonna activate its option of another 36 from the original order option and order another 40-odd M variant for the navy), then Dassault will drop its objection to the French Air Force selling us a few more squadrons of Mirage-2000s.
I suspect actually that if things work out, India will keep the Mirage-2000 flying well into the 2040s, because of new emergent low intensity threats in our region : from Myanmar being a civil war zone to Bangladesh going kanglu-way.
These are bringing up scenarios of potential conflict where you need amriki style 'bomb the rag tag barbarians from the air because their best air defence is an assault rifle' and this is where a hardy, high lift, low maintainance khataara ( which the Mirage-2000 isnt today, but will be by late 2030s) is the ideal tool and doesnt require exposure of the much more expensive to maintain and fly Rafale/Tejas/MKI.
Yes. we need MRFA/ORCA/TBDF/AMCA to keep our air force modernised.If In 2028 IAF had
+ 2-3 squadrons Mirage 2000
+ 3-4 squadrons Tejas Mk1A
- 2 squadrons MiG-21
Any need for MRFA?
Gauda ji, there is nothing called as a point defence, over friendly sir space and over enemy airspace.Yes. we need MRFA/ORCA/TBDF/AMCA to keep our air force modernised.
The mirage+tejas are supposed to fill in the already existing shortfall from 42 min squadrons. Remember, our squadrons are also smaller than the western/russian squadrons, who have 24 planes per squadron, while we have 18.
The primary function of Mirage + tejas is to be point defence and low intensity warfare : they are to bomb rag tag rebels and engage in air combat over friendly airspace meaning our own.
The Su30 + all the above options are for air dominance, aka fight over enemy airspace. So that requirement will remain regardless of how many point defence fighters we acquire.
There most definitely is point defence vs fighting over enemy airspace - this is factored by whether you are under your own radar + AA coverage or not. The mission profile of Tejas isnt to carry out strikes inside China, its to intercept Chinese fighters over indian air space.Gauda ji, there is nothing called as a point defence, over friendly sir space and over enemy airspace.
Tejas will be more useful to strike in so called enemy airspace then SU-30mki, giving it small size and low IR Signature.
Our enemy don't lie in Europe or Africa. They just inch away from us. So fancy classification of light, medium and heavy aircraft is flawed. Light and heavy aircrafts alone enough.
Take Ukraine as an example. Tejas will work in the same way as F-15 or Su-30mki in Ukrainian airspace except later have advantage delivering cruise missiles.
In theory we can acquire up to 12 squadrons from France + UAE + Greece but that requires France to get rid of almost all their mirages. Which barring economic collapse, they won't.
Realistically, we can acquire 1 to 1.5 squadrons from France, their oldest batch of mirage-2000 that they decided not to upgrade to the F5 standard ( latest standard), along with approx 2 squadrons from UAE and 1 from Greece. Though UAE number is at best going to be 1 squadron because i read somewhere recently that they are selling 1 squadron to Morocco.
Nobody is gonna 'throw in' Mirage-2000 as a sweetener deal, especially because Mirage-2000 is STILL one of the best bang for your buck plane in the world today - it has exceptionally low maintaiance costs ( fyi i know from IAF insiders that 1 Mig-29 = 3 Mirage-2000 in upkeep cost), is a heavy payload delivery single seater and has always lived up in tough, hardy conditions better than an F16 has.
Its basically your reliable trusty ambassador taxi that no one wants to get rid of because it is so damn reliable and cheap to maintain.
So the only acquisition pathway, is through nations that are slated to phase them out due to more modern acquisitions. Such as Greece and UAE getting more F-35s/Rafales and de-comissioning their Mirage-2000s.
France doesn't wanna give us a lot of their mirage-2000 basically because Dassault is worried that if we take too much Mirage-2000, then our Rafale orders will only be the M version for the navy and that means only 40-50 birds at max.
But i suspect that if India does order another 70+ Rafales (which is likely - the rumour is that India is gonna activate its option of another 36 from the original order option and order another 40-odd M variant for the navy), then Dassault will drop its objection to the French Air Force selling us a few more squadrons of Mirage-2000s.
I suspect actually that if things work out, India will keep the Mirage-2000 flying well into the 2040s, because of new emergent low intensity threats in our region : from Myanmar being a civil war zone to Bangladesh going kanglu-way.
These are bringing up scenarios of potential conflict where you need amriki style 'bomb the rag tag barbarians from the air because their best air defence is an assault rifle' and this is where a hardy, high lift, low maintainance khataara ( which the Mirage-2000 isnt today, but will be by late 2030s) is the ideal tool and doesnt require exposure of the much more expensive to maintain and fly Rafale/Tejas/MKI.
yes, the first one is from france. They have like 120+ mirage 2000s, some of them too shitty for us to even want, which we took for parts.There was need reports in 2021 that India has already signed a deal for 24 Mirages of unknown age with 8 in flyaway condition (the rest have ejection seats removed).
India Signs Contract for 24 Second-Hand ‘Mirage’ Aircraft
The Indian Air Force has signed a 27-million euro contract to purchase 24 phased-out Mirage 2000 fighter aircraft, Hindustan Times revealed.thedefensepost.com
This June it was reported we'll be getting 2nd hand operational Mirages from Qatar.
Will be too overpriced, as it's coming from France. Also if we ask these at fairly low price around 300-400M for 14 airframes, Macron would rather give it to Cykraine and chest beat in his globhomo circlejerk about muh freedom and sapport as he did with 6 airframes.
Yes, Macron is virtually guaranteed to give Ukraine some, but that window is closing with Trump coming to power and if market is correct that Ukraine's odds evaporate over the next year.Will be too overpriced, as it's coming from France. Also if we ask these at fairly low price around 300-400M for 14 airframes, Macron would rather give it to Cykraine and chest beat in his globhomo circlejerk about muh freedom and sapport as he did with 6 airframes.
There most definitely is point defence vs fighting over enemy airspace - this is factored by whether you are under your own radar + AA coverage or not. The mission profile of Tejas isnt to carry out strikes inside China, its to intercept Chinese fighters over indian air space.
Its the same reason MiG-21s were not used for balakot ( it has to go over enemy airspace) but were deployed during defense of Jammu - as its over friendly airspace. The tejas is supposed to fill in the mission profile for MiG-21. Hence its likely to be deployed as a point defence fighter when deployed exclusively - at best it can be mixed in with some Su or Rafale strike missions to mitigate risk to the higher value fighters.