Indian Economy

Definitely interest rates will increase.

Since gorment is borrowing from the market, banks and lenders will increase rates as the demand is higher and the guy taking a loan is a far higher risk than gorment.

Regarding inflation, I'm not sure what will happen.

This is a Pizza.

1721978846934.png

Let's assume that Pizza represents the amount of credit banks and all other financial institutions can lend to people and corporations in a given financial year. Now comes the government which also asks some credit. Obviously, no one will say "NO" when government asks for credit since repayment is guaranteed by the executive itself. And when they ask for credit they are not asking peanuts, they are asking for a huge chunk of that Pizza.

1721979131299.png

Now the banks and other financial institutions in the country have to contend with new reality. Since the government has borrowed a huge chunk of credit meant for people, corporations, and industry, they have to be careful so to not stretch their balance sheets too much. At some point in the year entire Pizza(credit) will be lent to people and corporations. You can't put up a board outside the bank like "Houseful no more credit can be given". Instead you raise interest rates right when Government decides to borrow money from the market. Rate increase depends on how much money Government has borrowed from the market. The lesser the amount lesser the increase in interest rates.

By increasing the interest rates the financial institutions can still lend money to people and corporations even after the entire Pizza is consumed. Since there is more money in the hands of the people a.k.a market than intended, inflation would start to rise. It will increase even more rapidly if the loans taken are not put to good use like increase in production of goods and services.

If the tax payers in the country can understand this simple concept, then they won't be disappointed after every budget session. Low taxes --> High inflation. High taxes --> Low inflation. You either pay taxes to the government or pay more interest to the bank in EMI's. The later will bite you for many years to come. Ofcourse, the above scenario can be eliminated if GoI can increase tax base and bridge the revenue deficit. Or they can cut spending and balance the budget. This might include less subsidies, firing large section of government employees, giving less pensions to government employees, less investment in infrastructure, less military spending etc.

In the end you cannot make everyone happy with a budget.
 
Another set of professions where underreporting the income is Doctors and Lawyers. Small scale Doctor will charge 200-500 per consultation fee in money and Lawyers also charge certain fee in money transaction.

As of today 1.3 and 1.4 Million Doctors and Lawyers were present in India as per Chat GPT.

Don't know how we can track this kind of work.

Then we comes to street side vendors who are still not properly documented.
 

It is quite easy if there is real intent to clamp down. Not going to happen in vote bank politics country like current India. They will only squeeze the only fair tax paying people that are employees. This lack of clamp down is in every sector. If you take a lottery in any social aspect, you will have 100% chance of winning if you bet on being crooked top to bottom for the most part. Only scraps get to the people.
 
Another set of professions where underreporting the income is Doctors and Lawyers. Small scale Doctor will charge 200-500 per consultation fee in money and Lawyers also charge certain fee in money transaction.

As of today 1.3 and 1.4 Million Doctors and Lawyers were present in India as per Chat GPT.

Don't know how we can track this kind of work.

Then we comes to street side vendors who are still not properly documented.
you dont even know how many fak doctors are there its not even funny they prescribe steroidal medicines to even light cough thats BADDDD
 
you dont even know how many fak doctors are there its not even funny they prescribe steroidal medicines to even light cough thats BADDDD

Yes. Fake doctors are there. Last few years in TN alone multiple fake doctors were arrested who done from simple medication to complex deliveries of child. Few casualties. Among them few of them were practicing for Decades LoL. Got arrested and get bail in 6 months and finally restart the clinic.
 
has many topics that were being discussed in recent weeks.
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Dr. Bibek Debroy on Budget, Economy and Dharma | The Rising India Podcast with Gautam Chikermane​


View: https://youtu.be/-fmvNSZvVCM

He is the same Bibek de Roy who headed the committee on railway?
Till now only one recommendation is implemented even that one partially.
 
A decade has passed since my X and the mobile OEM landscape change drastically in our Country.

In 2014. We have Indian OEM (not really) and few chinese OEM.

1. Micromax (Scam max, 2020 - Patriotism troupe IN series only to scam again, now become contract ODM company)
2. Celkon (In graveyard)
3. Karbonn (Dummy phone manufacturer)
4. Lava (Struggling in current market, still not enough trust on their products)
5. Xolo (Dormant)
6. Yu (CyanogenMod Phone, Now Dormat)
7. Spice (In graveyard)
8. Intex (in graveyard)
9. Onida (Few phones were launched but in graveyard)
10.LYF (Ambani ji mobile, Mukesh bhai should hire one capable person to handle consumer application sector, even their much hyped wyzr products are not available anywhere)

Foreign Brands at that time.
1. Nokia (Become shadow of itself, Microsoft killed them.)
2. Asus (Only Zenfone and ROG Phone)
3. HTC (Relaunched this year)
4. LG (Ceased to exist)
5. Sony (Only Higher end phones)
6. Alcatel (Another low cost Chinese owned company)
7. Nexus (Become Higher end Pixel Only)
8. Jolla (Still surviving in Finland, but nothing more to write off)
9. Panasonic (In graveyard)
Within the decade the entire list of above brands got decimated and sucked into Black hole due to Chinese Onslaughts.
 

Based off this article, It looks like we still need to create more Plutonium-239 and then Uranium-233 before we can reach stage 3.
Plus nuclear is not a game that can be rushed.
 
Not particularly this one I was talking about this. Name is same but one adds dr. As suffix.

committees can make recommendations, the reviewed party (in this case railways ) will have a say in whether to accept or reject those recommendations. there will be another document somewhere, which indicates how many of the recommendations are accepted by railways. once they accept, since this is Indian railways which is a huge organisation, it will take years to implement changes.

i did a few such projects for multiple state governments, which came out of such committee reports. one line item could translate to projects that cost crores and years of work. most times, it's not one project but a series of changes(contracts) if it is a big one, coming out of one sentence.
 
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