So basically an anti-ship air base in Andaman; as soon as there's a dot on the OTHR you scramble the AWACS and if there's indeed a naval attack package, you send it those MKIs to swarm with smaller but long ranged stand-off weapons. There's also those long ranged Kamikaze drones.
Not any argument against it, but some considerations
Thanks for this impeccably detailed and insightful input, but then again, we expect nothing short of you. Anyway, I'd like to debate over a few minor details and further expand upon my original comment as I had left out a lot of things for brevity's sake.
1. The detection range of the air search radar and the engagment range of those Chinese S-400 type missile would be way more than this 250km+.
For one, the primary long range air-defense missiles of the PLAN DDG fleet consists of the
HHQ-9, (a copy of some S-300 variant, possibly the PMU2 version) with semi-active radar homing and range of about 150-200 km. So, this one, at least in theory, shouldn't pose too big of a challenge in my projected scenario.
Now, granted, they might have made, heck they must have made a lot of improvements over the years and the data available in the public domain is long outdated, but even then, these long range SAMs have been proven to be utterly unreliable in shooting down maneuverable air targets like fighters, especially at longer ranges.
For example, On 17 May 2022, a Russian S-300 site in Syria tried to intercept a flight of Israeli F-16s, during which they fired off no less than a dozen missiles at those planes but failed to hit even one of them!!
These missiles work great against slow moving aerial targets with predictable flightpaths like bombers/tankers etc. and even cruise/ tactical ballistic missiles but not so much against fighters.
And I mean, it makes sense, right?? These SAMs are really heavy and therefore bleeds their energy far more rapidly once they have run out of fuel.
Plus, I just used a random figure. In reality, the range can be as high as 400 km and above if we can get the Americans to share their tech of
Powered JDAMs. Plus, this same tech can be used to create long range decoys as well.
Plus, I wonder if a a ground launched RudraM 3 or even a modified MLRS rocket design with deployable glide fins can be sued against surface ships.
Also the use of these no to low-powered munitions (glide, small rocket, turbojet) presents a rather unique dilemma as compared to high-powered missiles; you want to climb to the highest possible altitude to increase the range as much as possible but in a naval run you want to be near the waves as much as possible.
Yeah, that IS a indeed big problem but what CAN you do?? You can't use cruise missiles to mount such level of saturation attacks for obvious reasons.
Also the terminal speed of glide bombs would be slow enough for even the CIWS to engage.
It's not that this fact was totally lost on me. But, even after accounting for this, I still think a saturation attack with powered glide bombs and stealthy suicide drones can punch through their CIWS screens for one simple reason.
Type 055 -
Type 052D -
What do you see in common between these two?? That's right, just a single gun based CIWS, mounted up front, leaving a huge blind spot at the back as well as being vulnerable to multi-direction attacks. In this one regard at least, they're inferior to their IN counterparts.
And even if they don't manage to hit a ship, they'll surely be able to make the PLAN ships waste a good chunk of their air defense missiles, which will pave the path for the subsequent BrahMos salvos to overwhelm their air defense (hopefully).
And all these brings us back to where we started; BrahMos. There are two problems with BrahMos that makes it almost impossible to use in a swarm attack like you could have used these cheaper glide bombs; it's high cost and the fact that you can carry at max just three (that too theoretically) on a MKI.
So I'd keep your plan as it is but just replace the munitions with BrahMos and BrahMos-OB. What's BrahMos-OB!!??
Well it's BrahMos-Oonga Boonga; it would be a small, lightweight missile with no warhead or seeker but would fly at the same speed as BrahMos...and have the same RCS. So now you've increased the hit probability per Su-30MkI without increasing the cost and the weight limit.
Yeah, I had proposed of an almost similar approach involving the STAR target drones back in the DFI days. What I had said was to fit the modified STARs with a simple one-way datalink so that they can follow the lead of the actual BrahMos missiles.
2. Another point; this common notion of "Andaman is an unsinkable carrier" is just pure lie; definitely it's unsinkable but not unburnable. People have no idea about the wrath of ballistic missile it would face if there's a base there that's deemed a threat by the PLA. You'll be needing an absolute God tier AD/BMD system.
So this also needs to be addressed
I never held such a notion, rest assured. But we absolutely CAN improve our odds by constructing hardened underground hangars and ordnance/POL storage facilities. And of course, a strong air-defense detachment would be of utmost importance, but that's kinda obvious.
Another assymetric approach that I'd like IN to explore other than this naval strike thing is an evolved version of torpedos mines. It's been more than four decades since US has inducted the CAPTOR mines; a small shell that lays dormant on the sea bed with multiple sensor and after getting triggered they fire the torpedo. We can have something similar but with an unmanned surface vehicle instead of torpedo. As soon as an early warning systems detects naval presense we remotely fire a bunch of these systems nearest to them and take control using satellite links. Also being USV, we'd have the ability to call off the attack at any moment
Just my tidbit
Yes, and now that we are one step closer to deploying a long range boost-glide missile, this should become an even more viable option.
PS - Sorry for posting yet another long ahh post but I'm sure you've already figured out how big of a ponderous b@stard I am, right??