A demonic part of me almost yearns for the scenario: they launch a single nuclear strike—and in response, we erase their existence, with a few salvos directed toward Bangladesh as well.This will significantly reduce the M population in the subcontinent and we'll have only local M population to deal with, Solving centuries old problem once for all.
This is actually a long wished desire of mine too except today's not the time for it . Consider this - the way Paxtan's going it's bound to break up . However that doesn't improve our security situation , it further complicates it.
If Afghanistan extends to what's today Paxtani Punjab borders , there's a very slim buffer. Today's enemies could be tomorrow's friends or the situation could become so fluid you really can't tell what's going on .
What you can tell with certainty though is you'd be faced by a whole mass of jihadis with the mean demographic being ~ 25 with no jobs , water scarcity , depleting agriculture , narco terrorism , an economy down the drain , plenty of weapons in pvt hands & an equal number of drones with no central authority worth the name , an amorphous state whose writ runs in extremely limited areas & criminal syndicates masquerading as Jihadi tanzeems ruling the roost.
How do you tackle them ? For all our misgivings we can kick Fauji Foundation in their nuts or backside today & ensure good behaviour for some time. With no central authority in these successor states we'd spend most of our days disciplining one group after another.
Hence it's best we eliminate Paxtan once and for all , a project we should seriously take up once the China problem is dealt with for next decade I foresee the following -
In a Sino US war , whoever wins will win a Pyrrhic victory. I fully expect the US to win this one but its expeditionary force in the USMC , the USN & USAF will be so damaged it'd take them decades to get to today's standards assuming they've the wherewithal & will power to do so which I don't think they will .
For starters , the USD won't be the reserve currency of a lot of nations once the war is over & the US considerably weakened . Bullion will return in a very big way. A failing economy will exacerbate social & political chasms in the US . In short they will be too absorbed in their own internal affairs.
If China loses they split into 3-4 nations much like the former USSR.
Japan , the Korean peninsula , Taiwan & Philippines will end up as wastelands as will the eastern & southern coastal China. If N weapons are used I mostly expect it to be in the Korea peninsula.
Europe will face a renewed Russia assuming the current conflict results in a CF in a year or so. While I don't see Russia winning the second war of Ukraine , they'd likely tank the EU's economy from where recovery will be next to impossible.
To make matters worse , the Europeans will have to deal with the Islamic hordes they imported wholesale. Add a rapidly plummeting TFR to this mix across Russia & the EU & you can see for yourself where this one is going .
With the rise of EV tech & alternative energy sources Oil & Natural Gas lose their position as premier commodity items & with that the Gulf Sheikhdoms lose their influence . That would be after the Iran problem has been dealt with .
In short the world in the 2030s would be very conducive for us to take care of this 1400 year old problem once & for all beginning with Paxtan , later Malaun lungi desh & then the original Paxtanis at home provided we play our cards right.
Hopefully we've a wise determined tenacious fierce leadership uncompromisingly adherent to the tenets of Hindutva at the helm then for if we don't , we risk getting caught up in the middle , not knowing how to act.
Hopefully Paxtan survives intact till then & Fauji Foundation known for its foolhardiness makes its final gamble with a N weapon or 2 & we wipe them out from the face of the earth down to a man.
