Russian Ukrainian War

[shade2]

This war is already lost for US/NATO/Ukraine. Until Biden leaves, it will keep going. The results will be bad for the West, because Russia will not vacate any territory under military pressure. Settlement will be on the lines proposed by India/Modi/Jaishankar. That is Ukraine will be neutralized and Russia will leave Ukraine territory except Crimean.

Hence what has Biden gained….. Nothing, but lost $150 billion in military equipment some of which in Russian hands…… Bad….. bad…… bad for the West.

They gained a lot, all of the EU is now lining up for US military gear, and chindi and cowardly "peaceful" country like Germany now wants F35s, France's Rafale sales have increased etc.

btw Russia won't leave any territory unless they feel a humiliating military reversal is about to happen, they won't leave as a part of some peace treaty, makes the judo black belt, KGB James Bond and shirt-less horse-riding Leaderji of Russkies look like a little bitch and a waste of Russian blood and treasure to gain that land.

 

[GaudaNaresh]

This war is already lost for US/NATO/Ukraine. Until Biden leaves, it will keep going. The results will be bad for the West, because Russia will not vacate any territory under military pressure. Settlement will be on the lines proposed by India/Modi/Jaishankar. That is Ukraine will be neutralized and Russia will leave Ukraine territory except Crimean.

Hence what has Biden gained….. Nothing, but lost $150 billion in military equipment some of which in Russian hands…… Bad….. bad…… bad for the West.

Russia isnt giving up Donbass or any section of Zaphorizia/Kherson. Thats not happening and, regardless of what Jayshankar may say in public, he knows this to be a fact in reality.

For Russia, at the very minimum, it will require freezing the border along current LoC in Ukraine, because Russia understands geopolitics of its own backyard.
The historic KEY to controlling the black sea is Crimea and the key to controlling Crimea is to have a land bridge to it. Kherson-Zapho-Donbass is that land bridge. Also, as 2014-2022 showed, Crimea has a severe water problem. The only way Crimea gets water is from Dneiper canal and Ukraine shut it off after 2014, causing massive water logistics problem for Russia in crimea.
So Russia is under no shape or form vacating any of the territory it currently holds, for that is the minimum it needs to hold to guarantee Crimea and its canal.

 

[Vishnugupt]

To what question? Which picture is fake, this one?
View attachment 10958

You don't understand difference between picture and video??

 

[Akim]

You don't understand difference between picture and video??

I already told @GaudaNaresh that we do not have an English-speaking society. I am specially selecting information so that it can be understood here.
I can give you the direct speech of the Danish Minister of Defense, where he talks about these 18 howitzers, but his English words are covered by the Ukrainian translation. Maybe you can understand it.

View: https://youtu.be/sjO9MySul6E?t=646

 

[Boiled_AnDa]

Russia supposedly used ODAB-9000 for the first time in Volchansk, may be to vent out the frustration of 100 some loss with 10+ vehicles in ambush!?

It seems they became overconfident and paid a very heavy price.

 

[Akim]

Russia supposedly used ODAB-9000 for the first time in Volchansk, may be to vent out the frustration of 100 some loss with 10+ vehicles in ambush!?

It seems they became overconfident and paid a very heavy price.

Many publics write (or rather copy), but I doubt it. To lift such a bomb, you need a Tu-22, which will drop it on the target. For our air defense, this is a gift of fate. Therefore, there are no carpet bombings like in Mariupol.

 

[Boiled_AnDa]

Article 5 is only defensive,

The plan seems to be, keep poking ruskis with drone swarms from such 'chusa' countries out of blue or area unexpected, when russia detects and retaliates, cry foul that russia attacked a nato member and invoke the article-5 pact against being attacked.... what a brilliant and simple logic.. specially when total media is controlled( Telegram is done, same as X, to most of the curtail requirement), general public will never know what's happening except the false narrative being gulped down by sold out media. Win win situation

 

[shade2]

The plan seems to be, keep poking ruskis with drone swarms from such 'chusa' countries out of blue or area unexpected, when russia detects and retaliates, cry foul that russia attacked a nato member and invoke the article-5 pact against being attacked.... what a brilliant and simple logic.. specially when total media is controlled( Telegram is done, same as X, to most of the curtail requirement), general public will never know what's happening except the false narrative being gulped down by sold out media. Win win situation

What do they do about Putin's nukes though.
That's the entire reason that NATO hasn't attacked Russia via some bait like you have suggested

 

[Boiled_AnDa]

Many publics write (or rather copy), but I doubt it. To lift such a bomb, you need a Tu-22, which will drop it on the target. For our air defense, this is a gift of fate. Therefore, there are no carpet bombings like in Mariupol.

might be false, might be true, who knows! afterall both sides uses propaganda and we are not in the frontlines to observe it at first place. Also its fact that ukraine seems to be bit lacking in case of proper AD cover and availability.
But fact is, that explosion was HUGE... anything living/hiding even in basement would have'd burst it's lungs if not using rebreathers or just internal organs ruptured just due to the sheer shockwaves passing through.

View: https://x.com/i/status/1841424561125965840

 

[Boiled_AnDa]

That's the entire reason that NATO hasn't attacked Russia via some bait like you have suggested

NATO has already attacked the largest russian ammodump. But the fog of war and the sheer nincompoop bravado of russia along with total media blanket made it invisible -supposedly.

 

[Akim]

might be false, might be true, who knows! afterall both sides uses propaganda and we are not in the frontlines to observe it in first place. Also its fact that ukraine seems to be bit lacking in case of proper AD cover and availability.
But fact is, that explosion was HUGE... anything living/hiding even in basement would have'd burst it's lungs if not using rebreathers or just internal organs ruptured just due to the sheer shockwaves passing through.

View: https://x.com/i/status/1841424561125965840

I saw this video. UPMК modules are not very accurate. The bigger the bomb, the less accurate it is. A Russian drone filmed the explosion, but we don't know if they wanted to launch this 1.5-ton bomb there.
Have you noticed that videos of 3-ton bombs hitting have almost disappeared.

 

[Boiled_AnDa]

I saw this video. UPMК modules are not very accurate. The bigger the bomb, the less accurate it is. A Russian drone filmed the explosion, but we don't know if they wanted to launch this 1.5-ton bomb there.
Have you noticed that videos of 3-ton bombs hitting have almost disappeared.

I guess Russia is still trying to tweak the range and cep of the FAB3ks, unlike the smaller cousins, whom they managed to increase the range to 82-84km for 250-1k kg range ( and those smaller ones are really accurate)

Also might be a reason that recent drone strikes have burst a big chunk of higher weight fabs and missiles.. thats why we are missing the mass scale use.
Also noticed that Ukraine copied the russian tactics of smaller group uses, unlike the earlier time. for a squad size group in a 2 storied building is underkill for a 3k range bomb. May be they are at more ease now to use Iskanders than fab fatties. Lets see.

 

[Akim]

I guess Russia is still trying to tweak the range and cep of the FAB3ks, unlike the smaller cousins, whom they managed to increase the range to 82-84km for 250-1k kg range ( and those smaller ones are really accurate)

Also might be a reason that recent drone strikes have burst a big chunk of higher weight fabs and missiles.. thats why we are missing the mass scale use.
Also noticed that Ukraine copied the russian tactics of smaller group uses, unlike the earlier time. for a squad size group in a 2 storied building is underkill for a 3k range bomb. May be they are at more ease now to use Iskanders than fab fatties. Lets see.

Iskander costs money. The Soviet Union made many different FABs. These are not modern bombs with improved aerodynamics, but M54 (model 1954)
Neither side uses small group tactics if there are less than 10 people in the group. Another thing is that 2-3 reach the Ukrainian positions. They fortify themselves in some crevice and wait for a new attack. The rest of them join them and with such "cockroach attacks" accumulate up to 50 people. At the same time, FABs are constantly dropped on our positions. FAB-500 hits the target only 1/14, but if it hits, it destroys everything. After that, such a combined Russian assault group attacks the rest.