Bangladesh Must Hold Elections as Directed by Trump
The balance of power in Bangladesh shifted after Donald Trump became President of the United States. The Democratic Deep State, including former President Bill Clinton, lost its influence, leaving Chief Advisor Mohammad Yunus without key supporters. Moreover, his Islamist allies within the government are growing increasingly anxious about losing power. In a desperate attempt to secure support, they have turned to Pakistan. However, as a struggling state itself, Pakistan offers little assistance. The only viable option for help is neighbouring India, but under the influence of his Islamist backers, Yunus has repeatedly antagonized New Delhi.
India, instead of engaging in direct confrontation, has remained silent, choosing instead to cut off energy supplies due to unpaid bills. Despite various provocations, India has refused to be drawn into conflict.
Now, with President Trump making it clear that American support will not be extended—unlike during the Biden administration—he has signalled India to manage the situation. While India is willing, any intervention could disrupt the current power structure in Bangladesh.
Bangladesh’s political landscape is shaped by multiple power centre. One is led by former Prime Minister Khaleda Zia, while another could emerge if Sheikh Hasina returns from exile. Meanwhile, the hidden yet influential force remains the Bangladesh Army, which played a key role in pushing Hasina into exile in India.
If U.S. pressure leads to elections, Sheikh Hasina must return home. In that scenario, Yunus and his Islamist allies will be forced into the background. This would be the ideal outcome, as it would restore democratic governance in Bangladesh. The key is to ensure elections are held as soon as possible, with guarantees of good conduct from the military while preventing Pakistan’s interference.