Merging may not happen anywhere soon but kangkus funding Arakan army?
It's a possibility. The enemy's enemy is my friend. Lungi Army & Tatmadaw are at odds with each other . The Rohingyas are small potatoes. They're unwanted by everyone. SHW took them in as a good will gesture to earn brownie points with the west. In the end it didn't matter though.
Arakan army is the reason kanglus are suffering Rohingya crisis on their border and in response kanglus backed Rohingyas Salvation Army against Arakan army.
That was then . Today the Rohingyas are financed by Tatmadaw whereas the Rohingyas are being expelled by the Arakan Army.
Learn about the power shift in Rakhine as the Arakan Army asserts control and its complex relationship with the Rohingya amid tensions with the military junta.
www.orfonline.org
Arakan are backed by US deep state to take on military junta and also limit China presence and get their Christian state carved out of kanglus but trump is acting unpredictable and India is been pushed by trump to handle this mess.
What ? Arkans are all overwhelmingly Buddhist. Once upon a time Indian agencies helped these guys too with material & money before we eliminated the Arakan Army as we patched up with the Tatmadaw .
25 years ago this week, India’s army crushed an incipient Rakhine separatist force in the Andaman Islands. In western Myanmar, memories of the incident linger.
thediplomat.com
Things aren’t fluid as seen or published. There are various tribes and tribal rebels/ army who have taken up arms/ drugs trade.
All the armed insurgent groups in that part of the world indulge in the narcotics trade whether Indian insurgent groups or Myanmarese ones. That's how they raise funds.
We are cautiously monitoring and keeping up with rebels because of our investments in Kaladan Multi model transit corridor development which is crucial for our north east connectivity.
True but things are unraveling pretty fast out there. Tatmadaw is no longer in control of most if not all the Rakhine State.
Arakan and chin army are pro India and have been so because of kanglus. We did surgical strike in Myanmar to tame the china backed rebels who were against us.
None of them are pro India. They're certainly anti Tatmadaw. At the same time they fear India. However as of now , China's a big factor which is guiding our decision making process more than the Tatmadaw.
The Chinese have enormous influence among some insurgent groups like the Kokang & Wa ethnicities have relations in China much like the Chin & Nagas who exist on both sides of the Indo Myanmarese border.
Military junta has lost the control of teknaf pennisula region bordering kanglus and I don’t think they can take it back unless US plays double game with Arakan army and support Junta.
The US has nothing to do with the Rakhine State . The groups which profess Christianity are the Kachins , the Chins & the Karens of which the former two are in North North East Myanmar & the latter in South East Myanmar.
Incidentally the Arakan Army was initially trained & armed by the Kachins .
The geography is in our favour no need of CHT as of now but surely we need to get sea access using Myanmar territory annexation using these rebel groups. CHT will gradually be annexed due to kanglus stupidity and our presence surrounding if Rakhine state officially part of Indian union.
What you're suggesting is the long term plan. As of now we can't afford to be distracted by these events. What we need to do is only keep an eye on what's unfolding & keep the powder dry. Events in Mizoram & Manipur are more important to us than what's happening in Myanmar although they're somewhat related.
....to merge chinese supported chin + arakan region in india. neither to go after widening chicken neck nd Chittagong hill track...due to our image perception in world. frankly other countries dont take our hard power seriously.
