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Dont know here else to post this -

There's a 2.2% Chance This Asteroid Will Hit Earth in 2032—Its Impact Corridor Passes Through Heart of India​


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View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LFj0D6qp1HQ


Odds rise from 2.2 to 3.1. hope ISRO is tracking


NASA Says There's 3.1% Chance Of Asteroid Hitting Earth, New Simulation Shows Its Devastating Effect​


Asteroid 2024 YR4 was first detected on December 27 last year by the El Sauce Observatory in Chile.​


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Mumbai/Kolkotta at risk, chance 1 in 32
 
Odds rise from 2.2 to 3.1. hope ISRO is tracking


NASA Says There's 3.1% Chance Of Asteroid Hitting Earth, New Simulation Shows Its Devastating Effect​


Asteroid 2024 YR4 was first detected on December 27 last year by the El Sauce Observatory in Chile.​


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Mumbai/Kolkotta at risk, chance 1 in 32
Most likely gonna explode in the atmosphere instead of making a crater.
 
NASA Says There's 3.1% Chance Of Asteroid Hitting Earth, New Simulation Shows Its Devastating Effect


I did a simulation of the asteroid 2024 yr4 over Mumbai, one of the cities in its probable path.

As per NASA,the asteroid is most probably a 177 ft stone asteroid,impact angle of 45 deg and therefore it will have an airburst explosion.
The resulting explosion will release 14 MT of TNT(933 times the Hiroshima atomic explosion) and immediately kill over 4 million people.An estimated 4.2 million would receive 3rd degree burns and 7 lakh would die from wind blasts.Houses within a 3.5 km radius will be completely leveled and damage all structures within 13.6 km radius.


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Check out the Tunguska event as the basis for my prediction. Besides that incoming meteor doesn’t have enough mass to make it all the way to the ground without its internal gases overheating and rapidly expanding and then exploding under compressive shock.

Even Air bursts are equally dangerous.

The Tunguska asteroid released an energy of 15 MT of TNT and flattened about a whopping 2,150 square kilometers of forest

Also,Russia is a sparsely populated country, unlike India where 435 people live per square kilometer. The Tunguska asteroid with its estimated dimension, angle, and speed, had it hit our country,it would have easily killed between 500,000 to 1 million people.

Even the small 20 meter Chelyabinsk Meteor which exploded over Russia in 2013. Had it exploded over a populated Indian city,it could have injured 15,000-20,000 people.
 
Even Air bursts are equally dangerous.

The Tunguska asteroid released an energy of 15 MT of TNT and flattened about a whopping 2,150 square kilometers of forest

Also,Russia is a sparsely populated country, unlike India where 435 people live per square kilometer. The Tunguska asteroid with its estimated dimension, angle, and speed, had it hit our country,it would have easily killed between 500,000 to 1 million people.

Even the small 20 meter Chelyabinsk Meteor which exploded over Russia in 2013. Had it exploded over a populated Indian city,it could have injured 15,000-20,000 people.
Question how do we prevent from this ??
 
Question how do we prevent from this ??

By building a robust planetary defense system. We have already successfully deflected an asteroid recently.

In 2021, NASA launched the DART mission with the objective of changing the trajectory of Dimorphos,a moon of the asteroid Didymos using kinetic impact. The DART spacecraft collided with Dimorphos resulting in a reduction of its orbit by 32 minutes.
 
By building a robust planetary defense system. We have already successfully deflected an asteroid recently.

In 2021, NASA launched the DART mission with the objective of changing the trajectory of Dimorphos,a moon of the asteroid Didymos using kinetic impact. The DART spacecraft collided with Dimorphos resulting in a reduction of its orbit by 32 minutes.
How long would it take to develop such a system, test it and deploy ? If it's gonna hit in 2032 , we have to start pretty much today to geg anywhere.
 

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